A closely watched measure of the yield curve that serves as one of the bond market’s most reliable recession indicators inverted on Tuesday, underlining fears about the economic outlook as the Federal...
Tag: Economic Growth/Recession
Fed’s Powell sees the light — and turns far more hawkish than expected
After remaining stubbornly dovish last year, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday jumped the central bank squarely into the hawkish camp at his press conference on Wednesday. “The March...
Opinion: The Fed needs to target a floor for the 10-year Treasury, in addition to radically raising the fed funds rate
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell faces the toughest task since Chairman Paul Volcker tamed the Great Inflation of the 1970s and early 1980s. And a lot of the pressures driving the most virulent ...
JPMorgan Now Expects Nine Straight Fed Rate Increases Until March 2023
Text size Wall Street banks are predicting more aggressive rate increases by the Federal Reserve. Stefani Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images Economists at JPMorgan Chase said the Federal Reserve would likely r...
The Jobs Report Reveals a Booming Labor Market. Here’s Where Interest Rates Are Headed.
Text size President Joe Biden speaking about the January jobs report. Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images Good news for Main Street, not so good news for Wall Street. Once again, a booming labor market is like...
Opinion: Biden borrows too much, while America’s economy hollows out
It’s easy to be distracted by Russia’s provocations in Ukraine and the Federal Reserve’s new war on inflation but as the economy recovers from the delta and omicron variants, difficult post-pandemic c...
Here’s What to Watch as the Fed Gets Set to Raise Rates and Shrink Balance Sheet
Anxiety is high as the Federal Reserve wraps its first meeting of the year. Will the central bank abruptly end its emergency bond-buying program ahead of schedule? Are more rate increases in store, an...
Inverted Yield Curve Could Be Sending a Bogus Recession Warning
No topic has dominated the investment conversation lately as much as the yield curve. While it’s an arcane matter to most folks, we in the financial sphere have been thrown into a tizzy by this indica...