NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)—The global financial and economic outlook for the year ahead has soured rapidly in recent months, with policy makers, investors, and households now asking how much they sh...
Tag: Economic Growth/Recession
Powell says U.S. economy can handle the additional rate hikes that are coming
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday pushed back against economists who argue that aggressive Fed interest-rate hikes have increased the odds of a recession or hard landing for the U.S....
Stocks Historically Don’t Bottom Out Until the Fed Eases
Another week of whipsaw stock trading has many investors wondering how much farther markets will fall. Investors have often blamed the Federal Reserve for market routs. It turns out the Fed has often ...
Why stock-market investors are ‘nervous’ that an earnings recession may be looming
Investors are anxious the stock market may be facing an earnings recession, potentially leading to deeper losses after the S&P 500 index just suffered its worst week since March 2020. “It’s prett...
70% of economists say America is headed for a recession: poll. How to invest now
Worried about a recession? Here are some tips from pros Getty Images/iStockphoto Many economists say the United States will fall into a recession next year, according to a new poll by the Financial Ti...
‘The economy is going to collapse,’ says Wall Street veteran Novogratz. ‘We are going to go into a really fast recession.’
Veteran investor and bitcoin bull Michael Novogratz doesn’t have a rosy outlook on the economy, which he described as headed for a substantial downturn, with the likelihood of a “fast recession” on th...
Dow tumbles as inflation reading triggers market shock waves: What investors need to know
From Wall Street to Main Street, fears that the U.S. economy could be sliding into 1970s-style “stagflation” have been percolating. References to the sticky situation appeared in news headlines all we...
Salesforce earnings expected to serve as business-spending bellwether amid economic uncertainty
Salesforce Inc. is expected to have a much more subdued earnings report in the coming week as fear of a recession and inflation, as well as COVID shutdowns in China and the war in Ukraine, are prompti...
Avoiding Recession May Require Moving the Inflation Goal Post
Fed chief Jerome Powell, shown at a May 4 press conference, has said the central bank remains committed to bringing inflation down to 2%. Al Drago/Bloomberg Text size Signs of economic weakness are pi...
U.S. inflation rate slows to 6.3%, Fed-favored PCE gauge shows, in a sign that price pressures could be peaking
The numbers: A key measure of U.S. inflation rose just 0.2% in April to mark the smallest increase in a year and a half, aided by lower gasoline prices. There were additional hints that a surge in U.S...
Opinion: ‘I feel like I am reliving the summer of 2008.’ Strategist David Rosenberg sees bear market sinking the S&P 500 to 3,300
The U.S. stock and the bond markets are finally in the process of catching up with our views. We always believed these past two years represented a fake bull market built on sand, not concrete. And fr...
Opinion: The U.S. isn’t headed for recession. Nor will it be consumed by inflationary fires.
“Some say the world will end in fire,” goes a famous Robert Frost line. “And some say in ice.” If ever poetry could explain the stock market, this may come closest to capturing the sour mood that’s ab...
Are We in a Bear Market? Investors Should Stay Calm.
About the author: David Rosenberg is founder and president of Rosenberg Research & Associates. He was formerly chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc, and chief North Ame...
This JPMorgan portfolio manager says he isn’t betting on a U.S. recession
In a wobbly stock market, Phil Camporeale, a portfolio manager at JPMorgan Chase & Co., is betting the U.S. will avoid a recession. Rising interest rates are the “number one culprit this year for...
How high can the Fed hike interest rates before a recession hits? This chart suggests a low threshold.
The days when the Federal Reserve could raise its benchmark interest rate significantly above 5% without sparking a recession may be a thing of the past, according to Wells Fargo Investment Institute....
I-bonds are all the rage — what’s the best way to use them?
With the release of March’s Consumer Price Index, we now know that a risk-free investment yielding 9.6% will be available as of May 2. I’m speaking, of course, about Series I savings bonds from the U....
Here are 30 stocks that Goldman Sachs likes when the economy stutters and markets gyrate
Wall Street is finding some traction for Tuesday, as investors wade through big earnings and ample, gloomy distractions. Fighting has ramped up again in Ukraine as the battle begins for the country’s ...
Opinion: Have semiconductor companies’ performance decoupled from the economy? Taiwan Semi earnings say yes, but we’ll get a clearer picture soon
Sentiment around technology and growth has sunk as rising interest rates, persistent inflation and a less accommodative Federal Reserve have sent investors running for safer bets. Although the fourth ...
What the rising probability of a ‘growth scare’ means for the stock market, according to Citigroup
Recession worries are working their way into equities, according to Citigroup. A “mild recession in 2023” could lead to a drop of about 20% for the S&P 500 index from its late March high of around...
Bond Rout Promises More Pain for Investors
The worst bond rout in decades shows few signs of abating, threatening further pain for both investors and borrowers. Battered by high inflation readings and sharp messages from Federal Reserve offici...
Opinion: Why the United States is reluctant to become the Saudi Arabia of natural gas
OXFORD, England (Project Syndicate)—With images of Russian aggression and war crimes in Ukraine continuing to dominate the media in Europe and around the world, Germany has pledged to cut its imports ...
Recession is `the most likely’ outcome for U.S. economy, says Larry Summers
Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, whose out-of-consensus views about the risks of persistent inflation have come true, is reiterating his concerns about a potential U.S. downturn: He now says a...
Another Recession Indicator Just Flashed Red
An index tracking plane, train, and ground transportation stocks has dropped more than 20% from its recent high. Dreamstime.com Text size The Dow Jones Transportation Average slipped into bear market ...
Recession Warning Bells Are Ringing. These Banks Look Strong.
Text size Truist identified several banks that would likely be hurt less than their rivals in a mild recession. Dreamstime Concern that the economy could be about to shrink is growing, so bank analyst...
U.S. economy will fall into a recession this summer, as inflation eats into consumer spending, former Fed official warns
Higher inflation will force consumers to limit their spending by so much that the economy will slump into a recession by the July-September quarter, former Federal Reserve Governor Lawrence Lindsey sa...
Fed’s Williams says could begin reducing balance sheet as soon as May meeting
The Federal Reserve may begin reducing its balance sheet as soon as its May 3-4 policy meeting to address the level of U.S. inflation that have become “particularly acute,” New York Fed chair John Wil...
When Will the Recession Start? Sooner Than Investors Think.
About the author: Larry Hatheway is a co-founder of Jackson Hole Economics and the former chief economist of UBS . Economists and pundits who expect recession but not until 2023 may soon be surprised ...