“High inflation is unlikely to become a permanent feature of the economy,” said Vanguard’s U.S. chief economist and head of portfolio construction Roger Aliaga-Diaz. Vanguard Despite the Federal Reser...
Tag: Economic Growth/Recession
S&P 500 would be in an ‘earnings recession’ if not for this one booming sector — but that may not last long
Fears of an actual recession are weighing on investors near the end of 2022, but there is another type of recession also in sight: an earnings recession. The S&P 500 index would already be in an e...
Opinion: Stock markets will drop another 40% as a severe stagflationary debt crisis hits an overleveraged global economy
NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)—For a year now, I have argued that the increase in inflation would be persistent, that its causes include not only bad policies but also negative supply shocks, and that c...
This stock market strategist says the coming recession could be the biggest ever. ‘I recommend prayer.’
Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, isn’t one to mince words about financial markets, the Federal Reserve or the economy. Right now he has a few less-than-charitable things t...
U.N. Calls On Fed, Other Central Banks to Halt Interest-Rate Increases
The Federal Reserve and other central banks risk pushing the global economy into recession followed by prolonged stagnation if they keep raising interest rates, a United Nations agency said Monday. Th...
‘We are in deep trouble’: Billionaire investor Druckenmiller believes Fed’s monetary tightening will push the economy into recession in 2023
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller sees a “hard landing” for the U.S. economy by the end of 2023 as the Federal Reserve’s aggressive monetary tightening will result in a recession. “I will be...
The U.K. Economy Is Having a Meltdown. Why It’s Going to Get Worse.
The recent sharp drop in the British pound and in U.K. government bonds means traders are at panic stations, with repercussions being felt across the globe. The spectacular drops in the past month wer...
Ray Dalio says stocks, bonds have further to fall, sees U.S. recession in 2023
As the world waits for the Federal Reserve to deliver what’s expected to be its third “jumbo” interest-rate hike, Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio shared a warning for anybody still hanging on...
Amazon and Other Growth Stocks Have Been Hammered. Get Ready to Buy.
Text size Amazon shares are down 27% for the year. Mark Makela/Getty Images Growth stocks have been crushed this year, but several indicators point to a recovery soon—and investors should get ready to...
3 Chip Stocks for a Potential Recession, According to an Analyst
Broadcom is one of three chip stocks Bernstein identified as able to outperform in a recession. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images Text size Bernstein believes three semiconductor stocks can outperform if t...
Rising Pressure on Profits Darkens Outlook for Tech Shares
Micron Technology is among the companies that have warned about softening PC demand. Courtesy Micron Text size In early summer, I wrote a Tech Trader column previewing the June quarter earnings season...
Economist predicts a ‘whopper’ of recession in 2023 — and that’s not necessarily due to higher interest rates
Financial markets investors worry the U.S. is on the brink of an economic downturn as central bankers in Jackson Hole reaffirmed their determination to raise interest rates to bring inflation under co...
This asset class is poised to rise 38% because markets overestimate risk of global recession, Goldman says
Still reeling from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s higher-for-longer remarks last week, riskier asset like equities look set for another battering, on Monday. “You can’t have the stock market collapse ov...
The Federal Reserve Can’t Back Down on Inflation in the Face of Recession
Text size The prospect of recession is raising alarm among households, firms, and investors alike. Spencer Platt/Getty Images About the author: Carl Tannenbaum is the executive vice president and chie...
Opinion: Stop misreading the Fed: It’s not getting cold feet about wrestling inflation to the ground
The Federal Reserve isn’t as mysterious as it’s made out to be. It’s not hiding coded messages in its communications. It’s not using obscure metaphors that seem to say one thing but actually mean the ...
The U.S. economy is still sluggish — leading indicators fall for fifth month in a row
The numbers: The U.S. leading index fell by 0.4% in July to mark the fifth decline in a row, reflecting a slowdown in the economy tied to rising interest rates and pessimism among consumers. Economist...
Stock market’s post-Fed bounce is a ‘trap,’ warns Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson
“‘Ultimately, this will be a trap.’” — Mike Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist and CIO, Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, who correctly called the stock market’s 2022 swoon, isn’t convinc...
Expect Two Recessions, and a Quick End to the Fed’s Interest-Rate Hikes
Forward guidance sounds like a great idea. Central bankers should lay out their longer-term goals to influence financial markets. Just as hockey great Wayne Gretzky would skate where the puck was head...
There Are Signs Inflation May Have Peaked, but Can It Come Down Fast Enough?
Growing signs that price pressures are easing suggest that June’s distressingly high 9.1% increase in consumer prices will probably be the peak. But even if inflation indeed comes down, economists see...
Is the Stock Market Going Up? It Depends on the Definition of Recession.
Text size Tradersat the New York Stock Exchange. Seth Wenig/AP Not since Bill Clinton testified about the meaning of the word “is” has so much hinged on the meaning of one simple word. The word is “re...
Expect Two Recessions, and a Quick End to the Fed’s Hikes
Forward guidance sounds like a great idea. Central bankers should lay out their longer-term goals to influence financial markets. Just as hockey great Wayne Gretzky would skate where the puck was head...
Microsoft Stock Is a ‘Good Place to Hide.’ This Analyst CutsPrice Target Anyway.
Text size Microsoft updated its guidance to reflect higher foreign exchange headwinds ahead of its fourth-quarter earnings report. Jeenah Moon/Getty Images Microsoft won’t be immune to an economic slo...
A Double-Dip Recession Is Coming. It Will Be Worse if the Fed Caves on Inflation
A double-dip recession like the one experienced in the early 1980s is likely, writes Robert Heller. Above, a line of people waiting to apply for jobs at a hotel in Tampa Bay, Fla., in 1982. AP/Shutter...
Will earnings season trigger another leg lower for the Dow? Investors hunt for recession clues
Stock-market investors just can’t get off the merry-go-round this summer. A stronger-than-expected U.S. June jobs report on Friday calmed fears that the economy might have already slipped into recessi...
Fed’s James Bullard Says 0.75-Point July Rate Rise Is Likely
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said he is ready to follow the U.S. central bank’s supersize June rate rise with the same thing at the end of this month. “Our goal has been t...
These 11 stocks can lead your portfolio’s rebound after the S&P 500 ‘earnings recession’ and a market bottom next year
This may surprise you: Wall Street analysts expect earnings for the S&P 500 to increase 8% during 2023, despite all the buzz about a possible recession as the Federal Reserve tightens monetary pol...