Russia Appears To Scale Back Goals Of Ukraine Invasion

Topline

In a sign that Russia may be dialing back its invasion of Ukraine, the Kremlin said Friday it was shifting its focus to the “liberation” of eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region, which has been partially controlled since 2014 by two Russian-backed separatist states.

Key Facts

Sergei Rudskoi, head of the Russian General Staff’s Main Operational Directorate, said during a briefing the main objectives of the first phase of Russia’s invasion have been accomplished and the combat power of the Ukrainian military has been reduced, according to Russian news agency Interfax.

This “makes it possible to focus on the main efforts to achieve the main goal, liberation of Donbas,” he said.

He said 93% of the self-styled Luhansk People’s Republic’s claimed territory of the entirety of Luhansk Oblast had been seized, while 54% of Donetsk Oblast, which is claimed by the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic, has been taken.

Rudskoi said more 1,351 Russian troops have been killed thus far in Ukraine, in the Kremlin’s first update to its official death toll since March 2, when it said 498 soldiers had died.

A senior NATO defense official said Thursday the alliance believes 7,000 to 15,000 Russian soldiers have been killed.

Contra

U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan said Tuesday that Russia’s three main goals for its war on Ukraine are “first, to subjugate Ukraine. Second, to enhance Russian power and prestige. And third, to divide and weaken the West.” Sullivan said Russia has “manifestly failed” in its goals, and the Russian offensive has largely stalled after facing stiffer than expected resistance from Ukraine. Russian President Vladimir Putin said the invasion’s objectives are to “demilitarize and denazify” Ukraine in his February war declaration.

Tangent

Rudskoi said Friday that Russia is solely hitting military targets with its “precision strikes,” though all evidence points to Russia repeatedly targeting Ukrainian civilian infrastructure. Ukrainian officials said Friday about 300 people died from a Russian attack on a theater where civilians were known to be sheltering in Mariupol last week, a Russian strike that captured significant international attention. This death count has yet to be independently verified. At least 1,035 civilians have died during the war, according to the latest United Nations estimate.

Further Reading

Main objectives of first stage of special operation in Ukraine generally accomplished – Russian General Staff (Interfax)

Russia says first phase of Ukraine operation mostly complete, focus now on Donbass (Reuters)

National security advisor Jake Sullivan says Russia has ‘manifestly failed’ to achieve its 3 main goals in invading Ukraine (Insider)

Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2022/03/25/russia-appears-to-scale-back-goals-of-ukraine-invasion/