GBP/USD Price Forecast: Eyes nine-day EMA support near 1.3500
GBP/USD steadies for the second successive day, trading around 1.3530 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bullish bias as the pair moves sideways within the ascending channel pattern.
The GBP/USD pair holds a constructive bullish bias as it remains above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). This alignment of short- and medium-term EMAs below the spot suggests ongoing upside control. Meanwhile, the 14-day Relative Strength Index near 58 stays in positive territory without yet signaling overbought conditions, hinting that buyers still retain the initiative. Read more…
GBP/USD treads water ahead of Fed and BoE rate double-header
GBP/USD ended Monday largely unchanged from Friday’s closing bids close to 1.3535, with the pair drifting in a tight range through the European and US sessions. Price tagged a session high near 1.3575 in early dealing before fading back to the 1.3535 area, where small-bodied candles and overlapping bodies pointed to indecision. The pair is consolidating near the upper end of an April recovery that began from the 1.3160 area, with markets reluctant to commit ahead of this week’s central bank double-header.
The Fed and the Bank of England (BoE) both deliver rate decisions this week, a back-to-back setup that effectively sets the tone for the pair through May. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is widely expected to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% on Wednesday in Chair Jerome Powell’s final meeting before his term expires May 15. April brings no Summary of Economic Projections, leaving the statement and press conference to do the work amid March headline inflation at a two-year high of 3.3% and Q4 2025 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) revised to just 0.5%. The Senate Banking Committee is also scheduled to vote on Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Powell’s successor on Wednesday, layering leadership-transition risk on top of the policy event. Thursday’s advance Q1 GDP read (consensus 2.2%), Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) print (forecast 3.2% YoY), and Friday’s ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) round out a packed US data calendar. Read more…
GBP/USD edges up as stalled Iran talks keep markets on edge
GBP/USD registers modest gains during the North American session on Monday, up by 0.19%, as US-Iran talks stalled, while market mood remains fragile, as reflected in US equity markets trading lower. The pair trades at 1.3548, after bouncing off daily lows of 1.3506.
The economic schedule on both sides of the Atlantic will be busy. On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) begins its two-day monetary policy meeting, in which policymakers are expected to keep interest rates unchanged as they digest the impact of high energy prices sparked by the Middle East conflict. Eyes will also be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s decision to stay at the US central bank or to resign once Kevin Warsh is approved to succeed him. Read more…
