How To Avoid The Worst Style ETFs 3Q22

Question: Why are there so many ETFs?

Answer: ETF issuance is profitable, so Wall Street keeps cranking out more products to sell.

The large number of ETFs has little to do with serving your best interests as an investor. I leverage reliable and proprietary data to identify three red flags you can use to avoid the worst ETFs:

1. Inadequate Liquidity

This issue is the easiest to avoid, and my advice is simple. Avoid all ETFs with less than $100 million in assets. Low levels of liquidity can lead to a discrepancy between the price of the ETF and the underlying value of the securities it holds. Small ETFs also generally have lower trading volume, which translates to higher trading costs via larger bid-ask spreads.

2. High Fees

ETFs should be cheap, but not all of them are. The first step is to benchmark what cheap means.

To ensure you are paying at or below average fees, invest only in ETFs with total annual costs below 0.46% – the average total annual cost of the 689 U.S. equity Style ETFs my firm covers. The weighted average is lower at 0.13%, which highlights how investors tend to put their money in ETFs with low fees.

Figure 1 shows Emles Alpha Opportunities ETF (EOPS) is the most expensive style ETF and JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Equity ETF BBUS
is the least expensive. State Street (SPGL, SPTM
ETFs are among the cheapest.

Figure 1: 5 Most and Least Expensive Style ETFs

Investors need not pay high fees for quality holdings. iShares Morningstar Value ETF (ILCV) is the best ranked style ETF with low costs. ILVC’s attractive Portfolio Management rating and 0.04% total annual cost earns it a very attractive rating. Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF QVAL
is the best ranked style ETF overall that meets liquidity minimums. QVAL’s very attractive Portfolio Management rating and 0.54% total annual cost also earns it a very attractive rating.

On the other hand, iShares Morningstar Small Cap Growth ETF (ISCG) holds poor stocks and earns a very unattractive rating, despite having low total annual costs of 0.07%. No matter how cheap an ETF looks, if it holds bad stocks, its performance will be bad. The quality of an ETF’s holdings matters more than its management fee.

3. Poor Holdings

Avoiding poor holdings is by far the hardest part of avoiding bad ETFs, but it is also the most important because an ETFs performance is determined more by its holdings than its costs. Figure 2 shows the ETFs within each style with the worst portfolio management ratings, a function of the fund’s holdings.

Figure 2: Style ETFs with the Worst Holdings

InvescoIVZ
and State Street appear more often than any other providers in Figure 2, which means that they offer the most ETFs with the worst holdings.

Roundhill MEME ETF (MEME) is the worst rated ETF in Figure 2. Tidal SoFi Gig Economy ETF GIGE
, Invesco S&P Small Cap High Dividend Low Volatility ETF XSHD
, Nuveen Small Cap Select ETF (NSCS), iShares Morningstar Small Cap Growth ETF (ISCG), and IndexIQ U.S. Mid Cap R&D Leaders ETF (MRND) also earn a very unattractive predictive overall rating, which means not only do they hold poor stocks, they charge high total annual costs.

The Danger Within

Buying an ETF without analyzing its holdings is like buying a stock without analyzing its business model and finances. Put another way, research on ETF holdings is necessary due diligence because an ETF’s performance is only as good as its holdings.

PERFORMANCE OF ETFs HOLDINGs – FEES = PERFORMANCE OF ETF

Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, Matt Shuler, and Brian Pellegrini receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, style, or theme.