Bitcoin (BTC) to $12,000? That’s a Big No, HODLer States

• Mags, a technical analyst, noted that BTC may hit $160,000 in the bull market.
• The Aroon indicator suggests consolidation or decline for BTC as 2023 nears its end.
• If the SEC approves a spot ETF in January, Bitcoin may hit a new high.

Pseudonymous long-term holder of Bitcoin (BTC) and trader Mags has declared that those expecting BTC to drop to $12,000 would be waiting forever. According to the analyst, Bitcoin has risen above its bottom and also passed its re-accumulation phase.

The chart shared by Mags showed that the coin was in the early stage of the bull market. He also opined via the chart that BTC has the potential to rise in the $160,000 direction when the bull phase comes in full force. 

Bears Have Been Disappointed 

Mags’ opinion was a response to a fellow trader Capo of Crypto. In June 2023, Capo of Crypto told the Bitcoin community that the coin could drop to $12,000 and investors should be wary of the bullish momentum at that time.

Six months after the prediction, Bitcoin changed hands at $43,569— a 79.35% increase since Capo revealed his sentiment. However, other predictions are saying that BTC was not yet done in 2023, and the price could tap $50,000 before the year ends.

However, the technical outlook of BTC showed that the coin has been in a consolidation phase for a while. If this remains the case, it might be impossible for BTC to hit $50,000 with seven days left in 2023.

At the same time, the support at $41,016 mapped out on December 18, implies that the coin might not drop below $40,000 anytime soon. Coin Edition then took a look at the Aroon indicator.

Only a Change Will Take BTC to $50,000

At press time, the Aroon Up (orange) was 14.29%. The Aroon Down (blue), on the other hand, was 57.14%. The difference in both indicators suggests that there was more strength for the bearish momentum than the bullish one. 

A look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) also showed that buying momentum had weakened as the reading dropped to 53.15. Should the indicators remain in a similar position, then BTC may continue consolidating or drop below $43,000 before the year closes.

However, a surge in accumulation could change the tides and move Bitcoin in the upward direction. Meanwhile, Mags’ prediction that BTC may hit $160,000 could be valid. While it is not guaranteed, the notion that a spot ETF would be approved in January puts it as an option.

Also, if the coin price does not reach the level in January, the Bitcoin halving in April has the potential to push the value there. Historically, every Bitcoin halving has been instrumental to the coin hitting a new high. Time will tell if it would be the same case this time.