Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Price Will Hit $125K by Year-End

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, said he expects Bitcoin to reach $125,000 before the end of the year. He made the prediction when he gave a speech at Bitcoin Las Vegas 2026. Hayes described an optimistic picture of the market.

Will Bitcoin Price Hit $125K by Year-End

In his presentation, Hayes made a case that the world is changing in favor of Bitcoin in terms of liquidity. He attributed the attitude to an increase in defense expenditure in major economies during war. Hayes says that increased government spending usually necessitates additional money supply.

He said that the upward fiscal pressure may compel policymakers to lean towards a more loose financial situation. Such a climate generally favors risky assets, such as cryptocurrencies. Hayes stressed that the liquidity is the main driver of the long-term price dynamics of Bitcoin.

Livestream of my upcoming speech, “Twenty-one Weeks Later”https://t.co/hU2XZdB1S1

— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) April 27, 2026

The previous exchange executive also mentioned the possible regulatory reforms in the U.S. banking system. He mentioned that banks are likely to take more of the increasing government debt in the near future. These structural solutions would infuse more liquidity in financial markets.

Another factor cited by Hayes is changes in leadership at the Federal Reserve. He indicated that the direction of monetary policy can take a new direction. Another aspect in the larger economic context included artificial intelligence-driven credit deflation.

In response to the geopolitical tensions, Hayes mentioned the current war between the United States and Iran. He recognized the dangers, but claimed that markets have not entered the fully defensive stage. He said that investors are still concerned with macroeconomic liquidity trends. 

According to Axios, President Trump has dismissed the Iranian offer to close the Strait of Hormuz and the US has developed a plan to attack Iran with a short and intense wave of strikes.

Hayes explained the recent Bitcoin price action as volatile but within a range. He feels that this consolidation period will soon be replaced with a faster rise. Hayes affirmed that he has long Bitcoin positions. He argued that in case liquidity is as large as anticipated, Bitcoin might hit $125,000 in December.

BREAKING: President Trump has “rejected” Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz and the US has prepared a plan for a “short and powerful” wave of strikes on Iran, per Axios.

Details include:

1. Trump says he will keep Iran under a naval blockade until they agree to a…

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 29, 2026

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Levels To Watch

As of the reporting, the BTC price was at $75,820 on the in the most recent four hours. Bitcoin price recorded a small upward movement as it stayed within a well-defined consolidation zone.

The high near was $76,055 and the low was approximately $75,708 and the volatility was contained. The price action is still below the $78,000 resistance zone that has capped the attempts to move upwards in recent days. Momentum indicators indicate that the short-term strength of the bulls is gradually declining.

MACD indicator is still in the negative, signal lines are decreasing and becoming somewhat wider. The Relative Strength Index stands at an area close to 40. That reading shows neutral conditions with a slight inclination towards a mildly oversold pressure.

Provided that future Bitcoin outlook successfully bounces off a sustained break over $78,000, the momentum is likely to pick up to $80,000. A strong close beyond such a barrier could mark the way to the resistance area of $82,000.

On the other hand, the inability to protect the level of $74,000 may welcome fresh selling actions. A failure at less than $73,000 can reveal the psychological $70,000 support level.