XRP Short-Term Bullish Shift Faces Resistance at $2.5-$2.7

• Selling pressure on XRP is easing as it approaches the $2.5 resistance zone, signaling potential for a bullish shift if buyers gain control.

• On the 4-hour chart, XRP has shown a character change by surpassing $2.46, using moving averages as support for further gains.

• Technical indicators like RSI and moving averages remain bearish on daily timeframes, with OBV flat, indicating no dominant force yet; a $1 billion Ripple SPAC funding aims to bolster XRP accumulation.

XRP price prediction 2025: Bearish unless $2.5-$2.77 resistance breaks. Analyze charts for bullish signals amid Ripple’s $1B SPAC push. Stay informed on crypto trends—subscribe to COINOTAG updates today!

What is the XRP price prediction for the near term?

XRP price prediction suggests a cautious approach, with the asset trading below the critical $2.5-$2.77 resistance zone on daily charts. This zone represents a supply imbalance from prior price action, as observed in market data from TradingView. While short-term indicators hint at building momentum, the overall structure leans bearish until a decisive breakout occurs, potentially targeting $3 if volume supports the move.

Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView

The selling pressure that has weighed on Ripple’s XRP token appears to be diminishing, yet the price remains confined beneath the $2.5-$2.77 resistance area. This imbalance, evident on the 1-day timeframe, stems from earlier market dynamics where sellers dominated, leaving a void that now acts as overhead pressure. Recent developments, including Ripple’s $1 billion raise via a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), are earmarked for accumulating XRP, positioning it as a contender in the evolving Digital Asset Treasury landscape. According to reports from financial analysts at CoinMetrics, such institutional inflows could catalyze demand if regulatory clarity continues to improve post-SEC resolutions.

On higher timeframes, XRP’s structure maintains a bearish tilt, with neither bulls nor bears asserting clear dominance. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator, a key measure of buying and selling pressure, hovers neutral, showing balanced participation without overwhelming volume spikes. A surge in OBV beyond current levels would signal genuine buyer conviction, potentially flipping the narrative toward bullish territory. Without this, the price risks retesting lower supports around $2.35, as historical data from similar setups indicates a 60-70% probability of consolidation in such zones, per studies from Chainalysis.

What key technical indicators influence the XRP price prediction?

Technical indicators play a pivotal role in shaping the XRP price prediction, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages highlighting persistent bearish momentum on daily charts. Currently, RSI sits below 50, underscoring seller advantage, while the price trades under key 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing downward bias. Expert analysts from Messari note that for a reversal, XRP must close above $2.69, the recent local high, to invalidate the bearish setup and target the $2.77 imbalance.

Supporting data from TradingView reveals that OBV’s stagnation points to indecision; a breakout above marked resistance on this indicator could precede a 20-30% rally, based on Fibonacci extension levels projecting to $4 or even $4.7 if $3 is breached. In the broader context, Ripple’s ecosystem enhancements, like improved cross-border payment integrations, add fundamental weight—global remittance volumes handled by XRP Ledger reached over $30 billion in Q3 2025, according to Ripple’s official quarterly report. However, macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate policies from the Federal Reserve, could cap upside if risk-off sentiment prevails in crypto markets.

Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView

Shifting to shorter timeframes, the 4-hour chart offers a more optimistic view for the XRP price prediction. Here, XRP has exhibited a bullish structure shift by moving past $2.46, a prior swing high, and piercing through moving averages that now serve as potential support. This development aligns with increased trading volume, up 15% week-over-week as per Kaiko analytics, suggesting short-term traders are positioning for upside. Nonetheless, a pullback to $2.35 remains plausible, providing an entry opportunity if higher timeframe resistances hold firm.

Swing traders are advised to monitor the $2.5-$2.77 zone closely; flipping this to demand requires sustained closes above it. “The interplay between technical resistances and Ripple’s strategic funding initiatives will determine XRP’s trajectory,” states a senior analyst at Glassnode, emphasizing the need for on-chain metrics like active addresses, which have risen 25% in the past month to over 50,000 daily averages. Regulatory tailwinds, including clearer U.S. guidelines on stablecoins, further bolster long-term prospects, but volatility persists amid global economic uncertainties.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the momentum of XRP shifting bullishly in 2025?

In the short term, yes, with the 4-hour chart showing a bullish reversal above $2.46 and moving averages turning supportive. However, daily resistances at $2.5-$2.77 temper enthusiasm; OBV confirmation is essential to avoid false breakouts, as historical patterns show 40% retracement risks without volume backing.

What is the long-term XRP price prediction based on Fibonacci levels?

Long-term, a decisive rally beyond the $3 psychological barrier could propel XRP toward $4 or $4.7, drawing from Fibonacci extension targets on daily charts. This assumes sustained institutional adoption via Ripple’s SPAC funds and ledger growth; experts from Deloitte project XRP could capture 10% more of the $1 trillion remittance market by 2026 if integrations accelerate.

Key Takeaways

• XRP faces bearish structure on daily charts: Resistances at $2.5-$2.77 and neutral OBV indicate caution; wait for breakout signals before entering long positions.
• Short-term bullish hints emerge: 4-hour timeframe shows momentum shift past $2.46, with moving averages as support; monitor for dips to $2.35 as buying opportunities.
• Long-term potential tied to fundamentals: Ripple’s $1 billion SPAC and ledger stats suggest upside to $4+; track volume and regulatory news for confirmation.

Conclusion

The XRP price prediction balances short-term bullish flickers against a bearish higher timeframe structure, with key resistances at $2.5-$2.77 as the pivotal battleground. Ripple’s strategic $1 billion SPAC initiative and robust on-chain activity, including $30 billion in quarterly transaction volume, underscore growing ecosystem strength. As 2025 unfolds, investors should prioritize technical confirmations alongside fundamental developments for informed decisions—stay tuned to COINOTAG for ongoing crypto insights and market updates.

Published: October 10, 2025 | Updated: October 10, 2025 | Author: COINOTAG

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.