XRP Price Sits at a Critical Turning Point as Downtrend Holds

• XRP clings to the 0.382 Fib zone as weakening momentum threatens deeper retracement.
• Elevated open interest shows traders bracing for stronger volatility-driven XRP swings.
• Persistent outflows highlight weak accumulation, limiting chances of a sustained rebound.

XRP is attempting to steady near a crucial technical zone after several weeks of controlled downside movement. The token trades around $2.16, where it continues to test the 0.382 Fibonacci region. This level has become an important reference point for traders watching the next decisive move as market structure weakens and momentum slows. 

Besides the ongoing pressure, this area now acts as the final barrier before deeper retracement levels emerge. The broader focus remains on whether buyers can defend this zone long enough to prevent a sharper decline toward the lower Fibonacci cluster.

Downtrend Persists as XRP Tests Critical Support

XRP continues to move through a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows on the 4-hour chart. The price sits below the EMA 9 and under the Supertrend, which signals persistent selling pressure. 

Additionally, the token has struggled to reclaim the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci zones at $2.52 and $2.77. These levels rejected price in recent attempts, confirming strong resistance above current trading levels.

The ongoing test of the $2.16–$2.17 region remains significant. A firm breakdown exposes the 0.236 Fibonacci support at $1.94. Moreover, a deeper sweep toward $1.58 becomes possible if momentum weakens further. 

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However, any attempt to recover must clear the first resistance cluster between $2.25 and $2.33. This region aligns with structural resistance and the Supertrend cloud. A stronger shift above $2.52 would mark early bullish improvement, while a break through $2.77 would signal a mid-term trend reversal.

Leverage Builds as Open Interest Stays Elevated

XRP futures open interest has climbed sharply throughout 2025. OI expanded from under $1 billion in early October to peaks above $6 billion as volatility increased. Consequently, leveraged positioning returned to the market with notable strength. 

Although OI has eased from its peak, it remains elevated near $3.6 billion. This reinforces the idea that traders continue to position aggressively for larger directional swings.

Inflow and Outflow Data Signal Weak Accumulation

Capital flows show consistent outflows through 2025. Outflows between $30 million and $150 million have appeared frequently, which indicates ongoing distribution by large holders. 

Moreover, recent data recorded a  $30.23 million net outflow on 18 November. This reading mirrors the cautious sentiment visible in price movement. Occasional inflow spikes earlier in the year did not shift the broader trend. Hence, stronger inflows must return before market confidence improves.

Technical Outlook for XRP Price

Key levels remain clearly defined as XRP trades near a major support zone on the 4-hour timeframe heading into the next market phase.

• Upside levels: $2.25–$2.33 remains the first resistance cluster, followed by the 0.618 retracement at $2.52. A stronger breakout could extend toward the 0.786 level at $2.77 and later toward the previous swing high near $3.10.

• Downside levels: The 0.382 Fibonacci zone at $2.16–$2.17 is the immediate line of defense. A breakdown exposes $1.94 as the next key level, with a deeper sweep potentially targeting the $1.58 liquidity zone.

• Resistance ceiling: $2.52 remains the critical pivot for medium-term bullish momentum. Reclaiming this level improves trend confidence and weakens the broader bearish structure.

Structurally, XRP continues to move within a controlled downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows while trading beneath the EMA 9 and the Supertrend. This compression suggests a continuation bias unless buyers reclaim higher levels with conviction. Futures open interest remains elevated, which increases the potential for volatility expansion when price challenges major support or resistance.

Will XRP Rebound?

XRP’s near-term outlook depends on whether buyers can defend the $2.16–$2.17 support zone long enough to build momentum toward the $2.25–$2.33 region. Technical compression and rising leverage both point toward elevated volatility in the sessions ahead.

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If bullish momentum strengthens and inflows begin to outweigh persistent outflows, XRP could retest $2.52 and possibly extend toward $2.77. A decisive break above these levels would shift mid-term market structure and open the path back toward $3.10.

However, failure to hold $2.16 risks accelerating the downtrend and exposing XRP to $1.94, with a deeper liquidity sweep possible toward $1.58. For now, XRP remains in a pivotal zone where market conviction and reaction to key support will determine the next major move.