XRP Price Prediction: XRP Holds Ground with Bullish Structure—What’s Next After a $3 Breakout?

XRP continues to show impressive resilience in the broader crypto market, holding firm near the $2.93 level despite reduced trading volume and ongoing institutional rebalancing.

As market participants eye a breakout above $3, the structure forming on XRP charts reflects a healthy bullish pattern backed by both technical and macroeconomic tailwinds.

XRP Price Holds Steady Near $2.93 Despite Volume Dip

The XRP price rose 2.51% over the past 24 hours to reach $2.93 on July 16, 2025, marking a 26% gain over the past week. However, daily trading volume dropped by over 38%, totaling just above $7.1 billion. While this decline might typically indicate weakening demand, XRP’s stable price action paints a more nuanced picture.

XRP was trading at around $2.93, up 2.78% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP Liquid Index (XRPLX) via Brave New Coin

The price of XRP today suggests that strong institutional support is counteracting lighter retail activity. According to CoinDesk data, XRP traded within a tight range between $2.82 and $2.93. Notably, corporate breakout attempts above the $2.93 level failed four times on July 15, largely due to strategic institutional selling, while buy-side pressure held firm around $2.85.

Institutional Activity and ETF Buzz Shape Short-Term Range

One of the most significant short-term drivers is the upcoming launch of the ProShares XRP Futures ETF, scheduled for July 18. As anticipation builds, institutional desks are actively rotating positions within narrow price bands. Treasury desks reportedly accumulated XRP between $2.84 and $2.88 in several high-volume bursts, with a classic footprint of institutional interest observed late in Tuesday’s trading session.

The ProShares XRP Futures ETF is scheduled for listing on July 18, 2025. Source: Selena via X

As anticipation builds, institutional desks appear to be actively rotating positions within narrow price bands. Recent market activity shows repeated selling pressure near $2.93, while steady accumulation has taken place around the $2.85 level, indicating a tightly managed rebalancing effort around key thresholds. This controlled reallocation reflects a cautious optimism ahead of the ETF launch, as firms avoid breaching full allocation thresholds until fund flows stabilize.

Macro Tailwinds Add to XRP’s Momentum

Beyond technicals, macroeconomic trends and political signals are reinforcing the bullish outlook for XRP and other digital assets. President Trump’s recent social media post celebrated record highs in both tech stocks and cryptocurrencies, calling on the Federal Reserve to “rapidly” cut interest rates due to “no inflation.”

Such policy direction could serve as a catalyst for digital assets, particularly XRP, which offers utility in global payments beyond speculative value. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, making XRP more appealing to both institutional and individual investors.

The prospect of rate cuts not only supports speculative inflows but also incentivizes broader institutional adoption of Ripple’s XRP Ledger. In an environment where banks are pressed for profitability, XRP’s efficient cross-border settlement rails present a cost-saving alternative to traditional systems.

Technical Setup Signals Readiness for Breakout

From a technical standpoint, XRP has decisively broken above its 20, 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages—a strong indicator of bullish momentum. This move is amplified by a structure of higher lows, often seen as a precursor to significant upward movement.

The above chart uses median line analysis to suggest XRP could move higher if it holds above key support and targets the upper trendline. Source: Tr8dingN3rd on TradingView

XRP’s ability to maintain these levels alongside Bitcoin’s record highs reflects strong underlying buying interest. Should XRP break and close above the $2.93 resistance, the next psychological target is $3.00, followed by broader gains if the uptrend sustains.

This XRP price prediction aligns with market optimism that a confirmed breakout could shift XRP’s current consolidation into a more aggressive rally phase, potentially fueled by the ETF launch and macroeconomic shifts.

Regulatory Uncertainty Still a Limiting Factor

Despite the positive signals, regulatory doubt still surrounds the XRP crypto universe. The Ripple vs SEC lawsuit, while muted in recent weeks, is still unresolved and continues to influence institutional sentiment. Several corporate desks still approach scaling full allocations with caution, awaiting brighter XRP lawsuit news.

However, recent judicial rulings have been favorable to Ripple, and XRP lawsuit news headlines have been overall favorable, encouraging longer-term optimism. If the Ripple SEC case were finally to achieve ultimate clarity, there is widespread conviction that XRP could unlock higher institutional participation and greatly expand its market presence.

Outlook: What’s Next for XRP After the $3 Level?

A confirmed break above the $3 level would be a significant technical and psychological milestone for XRP today. With the overlap of supportive fundamentals, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors, the XRP price prediction 2025 is upbeat, especially if future events like the ETF launch attract sustained capital inflows.

The chart applies advanced trendline analysis to indicate XRP may make a strong upward surge if current support levels hold. Source: Vcapone on TradingView

Nevertheless, caution is still warranted. Price consolidation and retracements will be occurring along the way, precisely against areas of high-volume resistance. But as XRP continues to display a firm structure and build investor confidence, the probability for a sustained uptrend now appears to be rising.

Whether this second leg pushes XRP to $4 and beyond will depend on the evolution of global monetary policy and the speed at which regulatory clarity emerges. In the meantime, XRP remains one of the most watched tokens in the crypto universe, with both bulls and bears waiting with bated breath for the next large move.