XRP is facing a short-term pause as heavy whale selling (160 million XRP) and an overbought Stoch RSI have increased retracement risk; a confirmed XRP handle retest near $3.00 that holds would validate support and keep upside toward $3.80–$4.49 intact.
Whales unloaded 160 million XRP in two weeks, raising short-term volatility
Stoch RSI at 88.89 indicates overbought conditions and a likely short retracement
Fibonacci targets at $3.80 and $4.49 remain valid if the handle retest holds
Meta description: XRP handle retest risk as whales sell 160M XRP; watch $3.00 support for continuation toward $3.80–$4.49 — read actionable levels and trade signals now.
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Why is XRP facing caution now?
XRP whale selling and overbought momentum are key drivers of current caution. Whales distributed roughly 160 million XRP over two weeks, increasing available supply. Technical signals such as a Stoch RSI reading near 88.89 suggest short-term cooling is likely.
How significant is the 160 million XRP distribution?
160 million XRP represents meaningful concentrated selling that can elevate short-term volatility. Historically, similar whale exits have triggered corrections when retail demand fails to absorb the supply. This distribution aligns with profit-taking rather than structural bearish conviction, but it increases the chance of a handle retest.
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XRP is likely to retest the handle’s upper boundary near $3.00 to validate support. The pattern is a classic cup-and-handle breakout, but profit-taking and reduced momentum increase the chance of a short retracement. A defended retest would preserve the bullish path to higher targets.
Key confirmations include a volume-supported bounce at the handle boundary and stabilization of Stoch RSI below overbought levels. Futures flow shows cooling derivatives volume, and OI-weighted funding remains near neutral (0.0079%), implying balanced leverage and limited forced liquidations.
Futures volume has cooled since the breakout, indicating traders are pausing. Cooling derivatives activity can either extend consolidation or precede a cleaner retest. Neutral funding rates reduce the risk of aggressive liquidations, but a shift in funding could quickly amplify price movement.
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