XRP Enters Historically Strong November With 88% Average Gain

• XRP enters November, historically its second-best month with an average 88% gain
• Price is now testing key $2.60–$2.70 resistance as major catalysts approach
• Catalysts include a Nov 1 banking license decision and multiple pending XRP ETF filings

XRP trades at $2.50 heading into November, as traders weigh whether the token can replicate last year’s rally. Technical signals and historical patterns from previous Novembers provide context for what could come next.

XRP November Performance Through the Years

Historically, November has been one of the most defining months for XRP, often marking the transition between bearish exhaustion and explosive rallies. Data shows that XRP’s performance in November has been notably strong across several years, with standout surges such as 178.3% in 2020, 25.3% in 2017, and an incredible 531.9% in 2013.

On average, November posts a +88% gain, making it XRP’s second-best performing month after December. This pattern underscores how November frequently acts as a launchpad for year-end rallies, often setting the tone for December’s bull runs.

Even in years of broader market uncertainty, XRP has shown a tendency to rebound sharply in November, suggesting that traders often reaccumulate the token during this period in anticipation of renewed momentum.

However, XRP’s November rallies have not been consistent every year. While strong gains in November tend to coincide with broader crypto bull markets, bearish years such as 2021, 2019, and 2016 saw XRP drop by -10%, 23.3%, and 18%, respectively. 

Despite these fluctuations, the historical averages make November a statistically favorable month for XRP investors.

Related: XRP Tests 2.70 as Whales Buy $560M, Ripple Nears US Banking License on Nov 1

Technical outlook as of Oct. 30, 2025

As of this press time, XRP trades at $2.53, a 10.3% decline in the past month, reducing its yearly gain to 386%. Trading volume is up over 11% in the past day. The market cap is roughly $155 billion, down 10% over the past day. 

Technically, XRP is testing a long-term descending trendline that has limited rallies since July. Weekly momentum indicators, such as the RSI near 50 and MACD are turning positive, suggesting traders remain cautiously optimistic as XRP approaches a pivotal period. 

The $2.60 marks a short-term resistance level, with traders watching for a potential advance toward $2.75–$3.00 if that level holds. A close above $2.70 could open a path to higher gains, up to $3.20.

XRP Market Sentiment and Analyst Views

Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. Institutional flows into digital-asset products 

are supporting optimism. Ripple’s pending U.S. banking license and the wave of XRP ETF applications awaiting regulatory approval could fuel a price surge.

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan predicts that a spot XRP ETF could attract up to $1 billion in assets within months, citing the token’s strong investor base. Notably, about eight XRP ETF filings are under SEC review among the 20 filings Eric Balchunas noted since 2024. Analyst Nate Geraci said enthusiasm from XRP holders could drive larger-than-expected inflows. 

Meanwhile, Ripple’s pursuit of a U.S. banking license is approaching its November 1 review deadline, which could allow the firm to expand its institutional footprint if approved.

Analyst Ether Nasyonal says XRP’s price pattern mirrors its setup before the 2017 surge, signaling another potential breakout. 

Nasyonal noted that most investors overlook XRP’s current positioning, calling it “quietly gearing up to melt faces.” 

He pointed to a recurring weekly pattern similar to the one that preceded XRP’s 2017 rally, suggesting the asset may be on the verge of another major run.

Related: XRP Price Prediction: Massive Whale Accumulation Clashes With Weak Flows

Rounding it up, analysts believe XRP’s November performance hinges on key regulatory events, including pending ETF approvals and Ripple’s U.S. banking license decision. Traders are watching derivatives data and exchange flows for signs of renewed buying. A positive outcome could lift prices toward $3, while setbacks may prompt short-term selling.