Will Q2 Break the Silence?

• XRP is approaching 3,000 days since its $3.84 all-time high recorded in January 2018.
• Historical data show that Q2 has delivered major gains in past XRP cycles.
• Weekly RSI enters a historically oversold region, suggesting a potential bottoming phase.

XRP is approaching nearly 3,000 days since its all-time high of $3.84 recorded on January 4, 2018. The token currently trades near $1.38 after a prolonged correction from last year’s rally above $3. The market is now examining whether the second quarter could break the asset’s extended quiet period.

XRP Approaches 3,000 Days Since Record High

According to CoinGlass data, XRP remains 64.1% below its 2018 market rally peak. The token is approaching 3,000 days since its $3.842 all-time high, underscoring the prolonged recovery period following the previous cycle.

Current price analysis indicates the token is trading with a 0.1% daily decline, while weekly losses have reached 3.8%. Over the past year, the asset has fallen 37.3% as market activity cooled after a surge above $3.

Historical volatility remains a defining feature of XRP’s price behavior. The asset recorded its largest single-day gain of 178.78% on April 2, 2017, alongside an intraday range of 226.76%. A day later, it posted its largest daily loss of 45.23%, illustrating the rapid shifts seen during earlier cycles.

Market Activity Slows as Key Levels Hold

Earlier analysis by Coin Edition shows that XRP remains in a consolidation phase despite steady institutional exposure through investment products linked to the asset.

Derivatives activity has cooled since the previous rally. Open interest once climbed above $10 billion when XRP traded between $3 and $3.5. By March 12, 2026, it had dropped to about $2.43 billion, reflecting lower speculative activity.

Crypto analyst EgragCrypto pointed to XRP’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) as another signal drawing attention.

The indicator has entered one of the most oversold levels in XRP’s history. Similar readings appeared during market lows in 2014, 2015, 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024.

Historically, these conditions have marked the start of a bottoming phase, often followed by selling pressure, sideways trading, and gradual recovery. Some analysts say this setup could shape XRP’s direction heading into Q2.

Will XRP Rally in Q2? History Shows Strong Q2 Moves for XRP

Quarterly data shows that the second quarter has historically produced some of XRP’s largest gains. During the 2017 bull market, XRP surged 1,109% in Q2, one of the strongest quarterly performances in the asset’s history. The period marked the beginning of a rally that eventually pushed the token toward its record high months later.

Other years have also recorded notable Q2 movements. XRP gained 28.7% in Q2 2019, 21.2% in Q2 2021, and 7.12% in Q2 2025. However, the quarter has also seen declines, including a 59.4% decline in Q2 2022 and a 25% decline in Q2 2024, reflecting the asset’s cyclical volatility.

These mixed results indicate that Q2 often serves as a turning point for XRP during major market transitions. Meanwhile, Q3 has returned mostly positive, marking the strongest quarter for XRP in history. 

Whether XRP will break the 3,000-day milestone depends on the combination of historical seasonal trends, oversold indicators, and tightening price action.  

As it stands, traders are watching key price levels. The $1.30 area has acted as support in recent weeks. Holding above that level could allow XRP to test $1.41, with further levels near $1.50 and $1.60.

Related: XRP Price Prediction: XRP Market Enters Cooling Phase Despite Strong ETF Positioning