What Happened Next Is Wild

Bitcoin crossed $100 for the first time on April 1, 2013, marking one of the earliest turning points in its market history. At the time, the asset was still traded as a niche experiment, but rising trading activity and broader public attention began to change that view.

Thirteen years later, Bitcoin trades far above that early milestone, yet the pace of growth now looks very different from prior cycles. Recent price action near $70,000, along with on-chain data, shows a market that has become larger, slower, and more tied to institutional flows.

How Did Bitcoin Move From $100 to a Global Market Asset?

When Bitcoin moved above $100 in 2013, it did so amid financial stress that pushed more people to consider alternatives to traditional banking systems. The Cyprus banking crisis, growing curiosity around decentralized money, and stronger exchange activity helped bring Bitcoin into wider discussion. That move did not turn Bitcoin into a mainstream financial asset overnight, but it did give the market a clear reference point for future growth.

Over the next several years, Bitcoin moved through a series of boom-and-bust cycles that built its reputation as a high-volatility asset. The 2013 market peak stood far above earlier levels, and later cycles in 2017, 2021, and 2025 pushed Bitcoin to new records. Still, each cycle delivered smaller percentage gains than the previous one. 

BTCUSD Chart | Source: TradingView

That pattern has drawn more attention in 2026 as traders compare the current market structure with earlier eras of sharper rallies.

Why is the $70,000 Level Getting So Much Attention?

Bitcoin now trades near $70,000, a level that carries unusual weight because it matches the record high from the 2019-2022 cycle. Earlier bear markets rarely returned to prior cycle tops, which made old highs seem distant once a new bull market began. The current cycle has broken from that pattern. After reaching more than $126,000 during the 2023-2025 bull run, Bitcoin fell back toward the old peak instead of holding far above it.

That retrace has led many market participants to treat $70,000 as a key reference point. Analysts tracking market trends note that previous highs often attract renewed buying when prices return to them. Traders who missed earlier breakouts often step in around those levels, while others use them as support zones in broader cycle analysis. 

The repeated defense of the $65,000 range has kept attention fixed on whether Bitcoin price has already found a floor or still faces another leg down.

Is BTC Market Showing a Bottom?

CryptoQuant data placed Bitcoin’s realized price near $54,286, while spot recently traded near $68,774. That leaves Bitcoin about 21% above the average cost basis of coins on the network. In earlier cycle bottoms, the spot price moved to or below the realized price, meaning the average holder was at a loss. That pattern appeared during the 2022 bear market and during the sharp 2020 pandemic sell-off.

The current setup does not match those earlier bottom signals yet. Analysts note that the premium above realized price has narrowed sharply from about 120% in late 2024, but they do not see the full reset that marked previous lows. Other data points also show restraint. The Coinbase Premium Index has turned negative, pointing to softer U.S. institutional demand, even as spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded more than $1 billion in inflows in March.

What Changed as Bitcoin Matured?

Bitcoin’s earlier rallies grew out of a market that relied heavily on spot buying from retail holders and long-term believers. That structure created faster moves because relatively small flows could shift BTC price sharply. Today, the market looks broader and more complex. Institutional participation, listed investment products, and a larger derivatives market have expanded the range of strategies available to traders.

That shift has also reduced the scale of Bitcoin’s percentage gains from one cycle to the next. The 2013 peak stood about 38 times above the 2011 high. The 2017 peak rose about 16 times above the 2013 top. By 2021, the advance had reached roughly three times the 2017 peak, while the 2025 high of more than $126,000 was less than twice the 2021 record. 

Bitcoin remains one of the world’s most watched assets, but its recent trend points to a market that now trades with more capital, more structure, and less room for the explosive upside that defined its early years.

Source: https://coinpaper.com/15918/bitcoin-hit-100-13-years-ago-what-happened-next-is-wild