UNI’s $9.18 support tested: Will whales sink or save Uniswap?

Key Takeaways

Whale exits $3.93M UNI, signaling caution and sparking renewed sell pressure. Meanwhile, heavy liquidation clusters and sustained sell-side dominance keep UNI’s outlook volatile.

A major Uniswap [UNI] whale has deposited 408,557 tokens worth $3.93 million to Binance after buying the same amount for $4.11 million at $10.06 a few weeks ago.

This move locked in a $180K loss, signaling reduced confidence from large holders at current valuations. Historically, such whale exits have foreshadowed increased volatility across UNI markets. 

While some traders may view this as distribution pressure, others might interpret it as a short-term capitulation event. 

Can Uniswap sustain its channel?

UNI has been trading within an ascending channel, holding above $9.18 support at press time, while deeper protection lie around $7.65.

Resistance overhead sat at $12.21, making it the next target should buyers reclaim momentum. 

However, the DMI indicator reflected indecision, with ADX values suggesting that neither bulls nor bears maintain a firm grip. This weakening directional trend reduces conviction among both sides of the market. 

Still, channel structures often favor continuation until broken, leaving UNI at a delicate juncture where trend confirmation is vital.

Source: TradingView

What does sustained sell-side dominance mean for UNI’s outlook?

Spot Taker CVD data reveals persistent sell-side dominance, showing that market sellers continue overwhelming buyers over the past 90 days. 

This imbalance reflects how traders lean toward liquidating positions rather than building fresh long exposure. 

Such consistent selling pressure limits upside momentum, even when technical structures suggest otherwise. Moreover, negative CVD readings often align with suppressed rallies and frequent pullbacks. 

While short-term bounces may occur, buyers must overcome these sell-side imbalances to secure lasting gains. Without that shift, UNI risks remaining trapped within a cautious trading environment.

Source: CryptoQuant

Liquidation clusters may shape volatility

The Binance UNI/USDT liquidation map highlights significant clusters around the $9.88 current price level, where both long and short liquidations remain densely packed.

These zones act as magnets, increasing volatility as traders face forced closures. 

Should prices push higher, large concentrations of long liquidations between $9.93 and $10.08 could trigger abrupt swings.

On the downside, leveraged long exposure below $9.18 amplifies risks if support falters. 

Consequently, UNI’s price path remains highly sensitive to liquidation dynamics, which often dictate sharp market reactions and accelerate ongoing trends.

Source: CoinGlass

Is Uniswap headed for rebound or deeper retracement?

UNI sits at a crossroads, caught between whale exits, sustained sell pressure, and fragile technical momentum. 

While the ascending channel provides structure, the dominance of sellers and dense liquidation zones leave little margin for error.

A rebound toward $12.21 is possible if buyers defend $9.18, yet failure risks a slide toward $7.65.