U.S. Unemployment Rise Influences Federal Reserve Rate Decision

In September 2025, the U.S. unemployment rate rose to 4.44%, surpassing expectations and impacting Federal Reserve’s December interest rate decisions amid a data blackout.

This increased unemployment has heightened market volatility, influencing both traditional and cryptocurrency markets, amid uncertain Federal Reserve interest rate actions in December.

U.S. Unemployment Hits 4.44% Amid Fed Speculation

In September 2025, the U.S. unemployment rate increased to 4.44%, exceeding predictions. The Federal Reserve’s decision to possibly cut interest rates in December faces scrutiny due to the rising unemployment figures.

The jobless rate increase forms a critical component of the Federal Reserve’s considerations for monetary policy adjustments. Expectations for a rate cut may shift, impacting both traditional and crypto markets.

Unemployment rate projections for Q4 2025 are 4.4–4.5%, indicating the Fed anticipated higher unemployment and may delay rate reductions if October/November reach 4.5% or above.

Crypto Market Faces Increased Volatility Due to Unemployment Surge

Did you know? The last time U.S. unemployment rates climbed consistently for three months was in 2022, influencing significant shifts in market expectations about Federal Reserve policy directions.

Bitcoin, currently priced at $87,285.64, holds a market cap of $1.74 trillion USD, accounting for dominant market presence. Recent downturns include a 4.68% drop in 24 hours with further declines of over 25% across 90 days, per CoinMarketCap data.

Expert analysis from the Coincu research team indicates potential prolonged market volatility, with historical trends showing that labor market shifts can influence government bond yields significantly, subsequently affecting digital asset price movement.