U.S. Shutdown Halts Key Employment Data Release

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics missed releasing the October non-farm payroll report due to a government shutdown, marking its second consecutive delay as of November 7, 2025.

Without this data, financial markets face increased uncertainty, affecting cryptocurrency volatility as employment reports traditionally guide macroeconomic expectations and investment decisions.

Shutdown Impact on Employment Data and GDP

The absence of the October non-farm report stems from a U.S. government shutdown preventing the Bureau of Labor Statistics from publishing the data. This marks a consecutive disruption in releasing essential employment statistics. The CBO Director Phillip L. Swagel commented that the shutdown impacts GDP, delaying federal spending and affecting economic forecasts.

Immediate Implications of this suspension include an estimated GDP drop of 1.0 to 2.0 percentage points annualized for Q4 2025 and an unemployment rate increase of approximately 0.4 percentage points due to furloughed workers. The lack of updates from BLS and CBO heightens uncertainty in financial markets.

“In CBO’s assessment, the shutdown will delay federal spending and have a negative effect on the economy that will mostly, but not entirely, reverse once the shutdown ends. The agency estimates that real gross domestic product (GDP)…will be lower in the fourth quarter of 2025 than it would have been in the absence of a shutdown.” — Phillip L. Swagel, Director, Congressional Budget Office CBO Report

Crypto Markets Maintain Stability Amid Macroeconomic Turmoil

Did you know? The longest U.S. government shutdown for data release delays has historically occurred in October 2025, repeating previous patterns where similar disruptions did not cause lasting impacts on blockchain asset prices.

Bitcoin (BTC) currently trades at $100,203.36, with a market cap nearing $1.99 trillion. CoinMarketCap data shows a 3.08% price drop over the past 24 hours. BTC’s market presence remains dominant at 59.82%. Over the past 90 days, BTC has seen a 14.33% decrease in price, reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid macroeconomic developments.

According to the Coincu research team, long-term outcomes hinge on the shutdown duration. Regulatory and financial environments may witness minor adjustments. Past patterns suggest eventual recovery and stabilization of crypto assets once comprehensive economic reporting resumes. These historical trends indicate that temporary disruptions can be mitigated, supporting investor confidence in crypto markets.