TON Price Prediction: Targeting $2.50-$2.70 Recovery by December 2025 Despite Current Weakness

Toncoin finds itself at a critical juncture as technical indicators present a mixed picture for the TON price prediction outlook. Trading at $1.83 with bearish momentum dominating short-term charts, analysts remain cautiously optimistic about a potential recovery toward the $2.50-$2.70 range by December 2025.

TON Price Prediction Summary

• TON short-term target (1 week): $1.95-$2.05 (+6-12%)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.50-$2.70 range (+37-48%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $2.36 (immediate resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $1.75 (immediate support) and $1.73 (lower Bollinger Band)

Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts

The latest Toncoin forecast from multiple analysts shows convergence around the $2.50-$2.70 target for December 2025. Blockchain.News maintains medium confidence in their TON price prediction of $2.70, citing critical support at $1.79 and potential for a 46% rally despite current bearish momentum. This aligns with CoinCodex’s $2.59 short-term target, which factors in the extreme fear sentiment (Fear & Greed Index at 15) as a potential contrarian buying opportunity.

The most conservative TON price prediction comes from Bitget, targeting only $1.83 for November 16th based on minimal daily growth rates. However, this short-term view contrasts sharply with the broader analyst consensus that sees significant upside potential once current technical headwinds clear.

TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Oversold Bounce

The Toncoin technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency positioned near oversold territory with multiple indicators suggesting a potential reversal setup. The RSI reading of 33.43 sits in neutral territory but approaches oversold levels, while the current price of $1.83 places TON near the lower Bollinger Band at $1.73, indicating potential support.

Most compelling for the TON price prediction is the MACD divergence pattern identified by analysts. Despite the current MACD histogram reading of -0.0126 showing bearish momentum, the underlying divergence suggests weakening selling pressure. The Stochastic oscillator confirms this oversold condition with %K at 18.36 and %D at 14.08, both well below the 20 oversold threshold.

Volume analysis shows $12 million in 24-hour trading on Binance, which while moderate, provides sufficient liquidity for any potential breakout move. The key technical factor supporting the Toncoin forecast is TON’s position 55.54% below its 52-week high of $4.11, suggesting substantial room for recovery if market conditions improve.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for TON

The primary TON price target of $2.50-$2.70 represents a logical technical objective based on several factors. First, this range aligns with the 50-period moving average resistance zone around $2.26, with extension to the upper Bollinger Band at $2.35 and beyond. For this bullish Toncoin forecast to materialize, TON must first break above the immediate resistance at $2.36.

The bullish scenario requires TON to reclaim the 20-period moving average at $2.04, followed by a sustained move above $2.36. This would likely trigger momentum buying and could propel the token toward the $2.50-$2.70 TON price target within the December timeframe. The 14-day ATR of $0.14 suggests normal volatility levels that could support such a move.

Bearish Risk for Toncoin

The bearish case for the TON price prediction centers on a breakdown below the critical $1.75 support level. Should this immediate support fail, the next significant support doesn’t appear until the strong support zone at $0.55, representing a potential 70% decline from current levels.

Key risk factors include continued MACD bearish momentum, failure to reclaim the 7-day moving average at $1.91, and broader cryptocurrency market weakness. The current position below all major moving averages (7, 20, 50, and 200-day) suggests the path of least resistance remains downward unless bulls can establish control above $2.04.

Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy

For those considering whether to buy or sell TON, the current technical setup suggests a measured approach. The optimal entry strategy involves waiting for confirmation of support at $1.75-$1.73 (lower Bollinger Band) before initiating positions. A stop-loss below $1.70 provides reasonable risk management while targeting the $2.50 TON price target offers attractive risk-reward ratios.

Dollar-cost averaging between $1.75-$1.85 could prove effective given the oversold conditions and analyst consensus around higher targets. However, position sizing should remain conservative given the bearish momentum indicators and the need for technical confirmation of any reversal.

TON Price Prediction Conclusion

The TON price prediction for December 2025 targets $2.50-$2.70, representing 37-48% upside potential from current levels. This Toncoin forecast carries medium confidence based on oversold technical conditions, analyst consensus, and historical support levels. However, immediate downside risks to $1.75 and potentially lower cannot be ignored.

Key indicators to watch for confirmation include RSI moving above 40, MACD histogram turning positive, and price reclaiming the $2.04 resistance level. The timeline for this TON price prediction to materialize extends through December 2025, with initial signs of reversal potentially appearing within the next 1-2 weeks if support levels hold firm.

Traders should monitor the $1.75 support level closely, as its defense or breakdown will likely determine whether the bullish Toncoin forecast materializes or gives way to deeper correction toward the $0.55 strong support zone.

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