Supertrend alignment echoes historic breakouts?

XRP’s price has steadied around $2.45 after a choppy start to the week, with traders increasingly focused on technical indicators that may hint at an impending breakout.

Market analysts are drawing comparisons to the 2017 and 2021 rallies, both of which were preceded by a similar Supertrend alignment, a convergence of key momentum signals that historically marked the start of explosive upside moves.

While XRP has faced macro headwinds and sector rotation into other large caps, the pattern has drawn renewed attention from traders who view the setup as a potential inflection point in its current cycle.

Current XRP price scenario

XRP is currently consolidating between $2.40 and $2.60, holding just above short-term support near $2.25. The Supertrend indicator, along with the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, is beginning to align on both the daily and weekly charts — a convergence that, according to analysts, tends to occur before large directional shifts.

Momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD have also begun turning upward from neutral zones, adding weight to the bullish technical case for Ripple (XRP). However, trading volume remains moderate, suggesting that conviction is not yet fully established.

Bull case for XRP price

If XRP can close decisively above $2.80–$3.00, it would confirm the breakout structure technical traders are watching. That move could open the path toward $3.40–$3.60 in the near term, with extended targets around $4.50–$5.00 if momentum accelerates.

Historical analogues show that when this Supertrend configuration has appeared, XRP has often followed with gains of 100–200% within several weeks. The bullish case is also supported by continued whale accumulation and Ripple’s expanding institutional partnerships, both of which add fundamental backing to the technical setup.

Bear case for XRP price

The bullish scenario hinges on XRP maintaining its current support zone. A failure to hold above $2.25–$2.30 could invalidate the setup and trigger a retracement toward $2.00 or lower.

Moreover, broader crypto sentiment remains fragile. A sharp pullback in Bitcoin or risk assets could quickly dampen enthusiasm and reduce the likelihood of a breakout, regardless of technical signals. Analysts also caution that past Supertrend flips have occasionally produced false signals when macro conditions diverged sharply from historical norms.

XRP price prediction based on current levels

For now, XRP’s key trading range lies between $2.25 and $2.80. A sustained breakout above resistance could ignite a rally toward $3.60–$4.50, while a breakdown below $2.25 would likely send the token back toward $2.00.

The broader XRP price prediction remains cautiously bullish — the technical foundation appears strong, but confirmation through price and volume remains crucial. If momentum builds as it has in past cycles, XRP may indeed be on the cusp of another major move.