Fresh volume-profile data and multi-timeframe chart reactions have drawn renewed trader attention, especially as Sui hovers near key support zones. While an upside toward the $1.70 liquidity pocket is possible, broader market caution, resistance layers, and macro-driven volatility still heavily influence Sui’s near-term trajectory.
Sui Eyes a Major Reversal After Liquidity Sweep Sparks Bullish Weekly Setup
Sui’s price action has developed against a backdrop of a near 70% retracement from its January 2025 peak. The latest weekly liquidity sweep—a move where price dips below prior lows to collect resting orders before reversing—has drawn renewed scrutiny from chart analysts who view such events as potential transition points when followed by sustained buying.
Sui (SUI) faces two key liquidity clusters at $1.3 and $1.7, with the token likely targeting the $1.7 upside amid the ongoing crypto market relief rally. Source: @TedPillows via X
According to chart specialists who track weekly market-structure shifts, liquidity sweeps at long-standing support zones often occur during periods of forced selling or profit-taking rather than directional conviction. Market observer @suintern_, who frequently publishes Sui structure commentary, noted that sweeps inside historical demand zones “don’t guarantee pivots, but they often mark areas where trend changes become statistically more likely when volume confirms.”
The Sui Foundation’s recent release of 43.96 million SUI (around 1.21% of circulating supply) added temporary supply pressure—a pattern commonly observed during scheduled token unlock events. Some traders worry Sui could revisit its longer-term swing low around $0.46, while others point to oversold readings and the re-test of key structural supports that have preceded multi-month recoveries in past cycles.
SUI Trades Within a Broad Descending Channel
Sui continues to move inside a broad descending channel that has guided price behavior across daily and weekly charts since mid-year. Descending channels map lower highs and lower lows and often represent prolonged corrective phases, though breaks can occur in either direction depending on liquidity and market catalysts.
Sui’s approach toward the lower boundary of this channel—a trendline dating back to 2023 that previously triggered strong rebounds—is considered a critical zone. How price behaves here may shape the next multi-week trend.
Sui (SUI), showing its most oversold RSI since 2023, is poised for a rebound with a near-term target between $1.90 and $2.20. Source: @CryptoBullet1 via X
Volume-profile models from analysts such as TedPillows highlight liquidity clusters around $1.30 (support) and $1.70 (resistance). When Sui traded near $1.52 on November 25, it briefly reached $1.60, aligning with expectations for a short-term reaction toward the upper gap. However, Sui later drifted toward $1.55 by November 27, falling short of testing the upper liquidity band.
Trader discussion around the analysis remains mixed. Some anticipate a gradual continuation toward $1.70, while others warn of “bidirectional stop hunts”—fast moves designed to sweep both long and short liquidity—that commonly arise in range-bound markets. The shared sentiment is that liquidity-based models highlight probability zones, not guaranteed outcomes.
Bullish Scenario
If buyers defend the channel’s lower trendline, Sui could attempt a recovery toward mid-channel resistance. Traders using channel-reaction models identify $1.63 as the next likely liquidity reaction zone; a move above that area could create space for a test of $2.38, a level tied to mid-2024 consolidation.
Additional bullish context comes from technical analyst CryptoBullet1, who highlighted that Sui’s RSI recently reached its lowest level since 2023 amid the October flash crash that briefly pushed Bitcoin below $90,000. CryptoBullet1’s model outlines an initial reaction range of $1.90–$2.20, but like all such projections, these depend heavily on broader market liquidity. Market Performance Reflects Persistent Selling Pressure
Sui’s late-November market performance underscores ongoing challenges. According to CoinMarketCap, SUI price today sits near $1.55, with a market cap of roughly $5.44 billion and 24-hour volume around $973 million. The token remains far below its all-time high of $5.35 set in January 2025.
Indicators such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages continue to signal bearish alignment, while an RSI near 25 reflects oversold conditions. However, historically, RSI can remain oversold when long-duration downtrends persist.
Data from Coinglass shows more than $6 million in long liquidations over the past week, illustrating the extent of forced selling that has amplified volatility.
Token Unlocks and Ecosystem Activity Add Mixed Signals
Despite price pressure, Sui’s ecosystem continues to expand. The November 1 token unlock contributed to volatility, a well-documented pattern in projects with scheduled release cycles. Many analysts factor unlock periods into SUI price prediction 2025 models because of the measurable impact on near-term supply.
A 4-hour bearish gap formed after SUI dropped from $1.89, with a potential rebound toward the $1.89 fair value gap serving as a key liquidity target. Source: Xeegs on TradingView
Institutional involvement also remains present. A capital-allocation announcement from Mill City Ventures, which outlined a $450 million commitment toward Sui-related initiatives, drew interest from analysts who view long-term funding as a stabilizing factor for emerging ecosystems. However, these commitments typically span multiple years and may not influence near-term price performance.
Network activity—including app usage, wallet creation, and protocol-level liquidity—has remained steady, though not at the pace observed during Sui’s rapid expansion in mid-2024.
Price Forecasts Signal Gradual Long-Term Recovery
Algorithmic forecasting platforms—including DigitalCoinPrice, Gate.io’s predictive engine, and CoinCodex models—publish a wide range of projections for SUI. These systems typically rely on historical volatility mapping, pattern recognition, and multi-cycle trend extrapolation. They can indicate general directional bias but cannot account for unpredictable factors such as unlock events, macro shocks, or ecosystem announcements.
For November 2025, common modeled estimates include:
Low: $1.82
High: $3.85
Average: $2.35
Full-year forecasts place the price of Sui between $1.80 and $6.77, with an average near $4.25.
Longer-horizon SUI coin price prediction models for 2030–2031 carry significantly greater uncertainty due to compounding assumptions. Analysts caution that regulatory developments, liquidity cycles, and adoption trends frequently override algorithmic models.
Historical Perspective Helps Frame the Long-Term Narrative
Sui’s long-term pattern becomes clearer when viewed through its early trading history. After launching at $2.10 in April 2023, Sui fell to $0.36 during the broader 2023 downturn. Its recovery through 2024 was driven by expanding activity across the Sui blockchain, increased daily active addresses, and rising developer participation. These factors contributed to Sui’s climb above $1.50, later above $2, and eventually to its January 2025 peak at $5.35.
The subsequent correction reflects a typical cycle seen in young blockchain ecosystems—rapid expansions followed by recalibration phases driven by liquidity shifts and changing market expectations.
Final Thoughts
Sui’s latest movement reflects a mix of technical compression, liquidity sensitivity, and steady ecosystem development. The recent liquidity sweep and oversold conditions offer early hints of stabilization, but confirmation depends on follow-through buying volume and broader macro trends.
Sui was trading at around $1.55, up 1.68% in the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin
At the time of writing, Sui trades near $1.55, showing a slight daily gain. While various sui price prediction models outline potential upside zones, none reliably capture the fast-changing variables that shape crypto markets, including unlock schedules, global risk sentiment, and liquidity rotation.