Solana gains nearly 6% in two days, but is a bullish break around the corner

Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice

• The higher timeframe market structure remained bearish
• The short-term charts showed bullish momentum- but can this break the previous downtrend?

Bitcoin was back at an area of resistance that it has toiled beneath since November. The $17.6k-$18k area would be vitally important for the bulls to conquer before they can hope to make further advances. Solana [SOL] witnessed some gains in recent days but its higher timeframe downtrend remained unbroken.

Read Solana’s [SOL] Price Prediction 2023-2024

Solana’s affiliation with SBF and FTX meant investor confidence in the asset was near all-time lows. NFT trade count has been good in recent months but didn’t hold a candle to the highs in February or even June and July.

A bearish breaker impeded SOL progress, here is why $15 is critical

Source: SOL/USDT on TradingView

On 10 November, Solana formed a bullish order block and soared from $14.15 to $17.67. In doing so, it established an area of demand in the $14.15 region. However, this zone was broken in the intense selling that followed. Thereby, the former bullish order block was flipped to a bearish breaker.

Since then, SOL witnessed multiple rejections from that zone, which were especially visible on timeframes such as the four-hour chart. At the time of writing, SOL advanced once more toward the $15 mark.

The On-Balance Volume (OBV) has been flat since 8 November and indicated buying pressure that stood equal to the selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also climbed steadily to stand at 40 but did not show bullish momentum yet. Taken together, the evidence presented a lack of strong demand behind SOL. If BTC faces trouble in the $17.6k area and drops quickly, SOL would be likely to follow.

Meanwhile, a move past $15 and its retest as support can present a buying opportunity. A daily session close above $14.6 would also represent a flip in structure to bullish and would encourage buyers.

The weighted sentiment is negative while NFT trade volume declines

Source: Santiment

The funding rate on Binance was close to 0 but had been extremely negative in recent weeks owing to the asset’s trend. Futures market participants betted in droves on further price drops for SOL. In the past few days, this bearish sentiment quietened down. Despite that, the weighted sentiment metric was in negative territory.