In the current crypto market context, the Shiba Inu price theme fits into a framework dominated by Bitcoin and a general sentiment of extreme fear, while the daily remains neutral.
D1: Shiba Inu in a neutral phase, price seeking direction
Let’s start with the main framework, the daily, which remains crucial for medium-term Shiba Inu forecasts.
Daily regime and sentiment
- D1 Regime: neutral
- Daily RSI: 51.5 – central zone
- Fear & Greed Index: 22 (Extreme Fear)
On a daily basis, Shiba Inu is neither overbought nor oversold. An RSI close to 50 indicates a market in precarious balance between supply and demand. There is no dominant directional force yet. At the same time, the general crypto sentiment is crushed by extreme fear, while the total market cap grows by about 2.5% and Bitcoin dominates over 56% of the market.
What does this mean in practice? Shiba Inu is not leading this market phase; it is rather undergoing it: if Bitcoin stops or retraces, SHIB risks quickly losing the ongoing rebound. Those looking to buy the token in the short term must be aware that the macro picture is not yet healthy.
Daily EMA (20/50/200): technical structure to confirm
The raw data we have does not report the actual numerical values of the daily exponential moving averages (EMA 20, 50, and 200), but the neutral regime and an RSI around 50 suggest a typical situation of price oscillating around the averages, without a marked distance yet.
Translated into operational terms: when the price works near the key EMAs, the market is deciding whether to turn a rebound into a trend or to unload it. In this context, the daily EMAs function more as zones of balance and conflict rather than as strong dynamic supports or resistances.
Daily Bollinger Bands: compressed volatility
Same story: we do not have the exact levels of the Bollinger Bands on D1, but with RSI around 50 and a neutral regime, it is reasonable to imagine a non-explosive relative volatility, with the price working near the median band.
In practice: we are closer to a phase of movement construction than to an explosion already underway. This fits well with the idea that the intraday rise is still a test and not a real breakout.
Daily MACD: momentum still lukewarm
The raw MACD values here are reported at zero, but by combining a neutral regime and stable RSI, the coherent picture is one of momentum not yet decided. There is no evident divergence nor clear confirmation of a strong trend.
Implication: those entering Shiba Inu now hoping for a medium-term acceleration do so without the support of a mature daily momentum. It is a phase to approach with reduced size or with a shorter time horizon.
Daily ATR and pivot: volatility to measure in the short term
The daily ATR is not available in absolute value, nor are the daily pivot points. In such situations, the practical trader does a simple thing: goes to the lower timeframe to measure the real risk in terms of average hourly and intraday excursion.
In summary on D1: the price of Shiba Inu is in a transition zone. There is no consolidated bearish trend, but neither is there a clean bullish reversal. The daily at the moment does not confirm the intraday rise: it is only observing it.
H1: Shiba Inu today in strong rebound, but close to stretched zone
Descending to the hourly chart, the story changes significantly: here today’s movement on the SHIBUSDT pair appears decidedly more lively.
Hourly RSI: almost stretched bullish push
- RSI H1: 69.3 – high zone, almost overbought
An hourly RSI close to 70 indicates a strong and fairly rapid rebound. The buying pressure has been evident, probably following the general improvement in the crypto market in recent hours.
What it implies: in the short term, those entering long now do so when much of the easy movement has already been made. It is not yet a reversal signal, but here the risk/reward ratio starts to worsen if entering without a plan.
H1 Regime: bullish bias, but to handle with care
The hourly regime is classified as bullish. This, linked to the high RSI, tells us that in recent hours buyers have had control, pushing the price above some key short-term zones, probably above the EMA 20 and 50 hourly and, ideally, approaching or just above the 200.
Operational implication: the intraday trend is positive, but we are running against a daily still neutral and a fragile macro sentiment. It is the classic context of a short-term trend counter to the underlying uncertainty.
EMA, Bollinger, and MACD on H1: price in push, but not yet in extreme extension
Even though we do not have precise values of EMA, Bands, and MACD on H1, the combined picture (bullish regime plus high RSI) usually coincides with:
- Price working above the EMA 20 and 50 hourly, with the 20 tilted upwards.
- Bollinger Bands generally open, with the price flirting with the upper band.
- Hourly MACD generally positive, with histogram in push.
Translated into concrete decisions: in these conditions, pullbacks towards the short H1 EMA zone become the first levels where buyers try to defend. But if the price starts to close decisively below the EMA 50 hourly, the signal would be clear: the intraday rebound is losing strength.
M15: Shiba Inu in overbought, ideal ground for false breakouts
The 15-minute chart is the most aggressive and confirms the picture of Shiba Inu today as an asset in full intraday push.
RSI M15: 76.1 – short-term excess
- RSI 15m: 76.2 – true overbought zone of the very short term
Here the message is very clear: the most recent bullish leg has been rapid and violent. This does not necessarily mean that the price must collapse, but that the current pace is hardly sustainable without pauses or corrections.
Implication for those looking at the SHIB chart to enter now: on this timeframe, buying is like jumping on a moving train. It can still accelerate, but a single brake can quickly lead to a drawdown.
15m Regime: bullish but at risk of push exhaustion
The 15-minute regime is classified as bullish. This means that the market micro-structure favors buyers: rising lows, breaking small local resistances, and probably price holding well above the EMA 20 of this timeframe.
Key point: when such a stretched trend on M15 clashes with a neutral daily and a macro sentiment in extreme fear, false breakouts on resistances become likely. It is a context more for fast traders than for slow investors.
Bullish scenario for Shiba Inu: what needs to happen for the rebound to become a trend
To transform the current movement into something more solid, Shiba Inu needs to do a clean job across multiple timeframes.
What bulls need
- On D1: daily closes above the main EMAs (20 and 50) with RSI steadily above 55–60. This would indicate that the strength seen intraday is starting to be felt on the main trend as well.
- On H1: keep the price steadily above the EMA 50 hourly after a physiological correction from the RSI peak. A healthy pullback would be a controlled retracement, with volumes decreasing on the descent.
- On M15: absorb the overbought without breaking the key rising lows. Ideally, a phase of high lateralization rather than a vertical dump.
In this scenario, forecasts on Shiba Inu would become more constructive: any consolidation above old resistances turned into support would open up spaces for further extensions, especially if the crypto market cap continues to rise and the dominance of BTC begins to stabilize or decline, leaving more room for altcoins.
Invalidation level of the bullish scenario
The short-term bullish scenario on Shiba Inu is questioned if the price:
- Decisively breaks down the EMA 50 and 200 zone on H1 with RSI slipping below 45.
- Shows a series of M15 closes below the lows of the current rebound, followed by increasing volumes on the descent, indicating distribution rather than simple profit-taking.
If we were to see this type of price action, today’s movement should be read for what it is: a rebound in a still fragile context, not the start of a solid bullish cycle.
Bearish scenario for Shiba Inu: when the rebound can turn into a trap
Given the context of Extreme Fear and the strong dominance of Bitcoin, the opposite scenario cannot be ignored: the one in which the current movement on Shiba Inu price turns out to be a simple short squeeze within a broader lateral or bearish structure.
What would strengthen the bears
- Violent rejection on H1 after overbought: candles with significant upper shadows, followed by closes below the lows of the breakout candle.
- RSI H1 quickly returning below 50, indicating that the buying push was a flash in the pan.
- On D1, inability to close above the EMA 20 and 50, with RSI slipping back towards 45 or less.
In this case, short-term Shiba Inu forecasts would shift to a more defensive tone, reading the current movement as a distribution phase on price spikes.
Invalidation level of the bearish scenario
The bearish scenario would lose strength when:
- The price starts building rising highs and lows even on D1, not just on H1 and M15.
- The daily RSI stabilizes in the 55–60 zone for several days, with MACD turning positive.
In other words, when the strength we see today only intraday becomes visible on the daily chart as well, the dividing line between rebound and new trend would shift significantly in favor of buyers.
How to read the current context on Shiba Inu if you are trading
For those looking at Shiba Inu today with a trader’s approach, the underlying message is this:
- Neutral daily: no defined trend, the market is still deciding.
- H1 and M15 bullish but stretched: strong rebound, but already close to levels where stops start to tighten.
- Macro sentiment in extreme fear: the capital flow towards meme coins like Shiba Inu can be nervous and volatile.
In such a context, those looking to buy SHIB or trade Shiba Inu on Binance or other exchanges should:
- Clearly define timeframe and horizon: today’s setup is for the short term, not for a long position to forget in the portfolio.
- Use technical stop losses linked to H1 and M15 structures, such as rising lows and main EMAs, rather than randomly chosen round numbers.
- Be wary of vertical breakouts on M15 in the overbought zone: they are often fertile ground for rapid reversals.
The Shiba Inu quotation at this moment reflects well the broader crypto market context: there is a desire for risk, but always with the handbrake on. For those who can read the timeframes and accept the possibility of false signals, it is an interesting playing field; for those entering without a plan, it is a slippery ground.
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Disclaimer: The information contained in this article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to save. Trading cryptocurrencies involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before making any investment decision, carefully consider your objectives, experience, and risk tolerance, possibly consulting with a qualified financial advisor.