SEC Delays Grayscale Cardano ETF Decision to October 2025, Approval Odds Stay High Amid Tech Advances

  • SEC sets new decision date: October 26, 2025.

  • Market-implied approval odds: Polymarket ~87%, Bloomberg analysts ~75%.

  • Cardano advances: Halo2-Plutus verifier adds zero-knowledge capabilities for privacy and scalability.

Grayscale Cardano ETF delayed to Oct 26, 2025 — approval odds remain high; follow updates on COINOTAG for expert analysis and next steps.

What is the SEC decision delay for the Grayscale Cardano ETF?

The Grayscale Cardano ETF decision has been officially extended to October 26, 2025, as the SEC continues its broader review of spot crypto ETFs. The extension pushes the final regulatory determination while market indicators still favor approval.

How likely is approval for the Grayscale Cardano ETF?

Market and analyst signals point to strong approval chances. Polymarket’s market-implied odds sit near 87%, while Bloomberg analysts estimate roughly 75% probability. These estimates reflect market pricing and institutional analyst models rather than an official guarantee.

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The SEC has delayed its decision on Grayscale’s Cardano ETF until October 2025, with approval odds still strong despite regulatory slowdowns.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced a postponement of its decision on Grayscale’s proposed spot Cardano (ADA) exchange-traded fund until October 26, 2025. This extension aligns with recent SEC behavior of lengthening review periods for several spot crypto ETF filings.

Grayscale’s filing—intended to bring ADA exposure to regulated markets—remains active in the regulatory process. The SEC’s extension follows filings such as the NYSE Arca 19b-4 submission and administrative listings in regulatory portals of Delaware, which indicate continued procedural progress.


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Source: https://en.coinotag.com/sec-delays-grayscale-cardano-etf-decision-to-october-2025-approval-odds-stay-high-amid-tech-advances/