 
 
Ripple’s XRP has been trading in the mid-$2 range after peaking near $3.3 in July, consolidating below key resistance around $3.0.
Despite short-term volatility, some analysts remain optimistic about its long-term outlook. Notably, crypto strategist StephIsCrypto posted an X (formerly Twitter) chart showing a repeating breakout pattern over 2022–2024 and projecting a major move in 2025.
As the broader crypto market rallies (Bitcoin near $111K, Ethereum around $4.3K) and on-chain data show whales accumulating (roughly 340M XRP added in recent weeks), this analysis suggests a bold target – roughly $14 by 2025 – if the pattern holds.
Recurring Breakouts and $14 Price Target
The analyst’s chart highlights XRP’s yearly cycles: each year since 2022 saw XRP break above a long-term descending trendline, followed by sharp gains.
For example, the 2022 breakout from around $0.30 led to a rally past $0.80; similarly, 2024’s breakout above $2.50 preceded a move beyond $3.00.
 
Extending this logic, the chart indicates a potential breakout zone near $2.50–$3.00 in 2025, which could propel XRP upward toward $14.
Technical commentators note that a close above $3.30 would confirm the next structural push and could target much higher levels. In fact, analysts have cited Fibonacci extensions that point to $14 by 2025 if the long-term trend continues.
This bullish thesis hinges on the notion that history repeats itself. The chartist StephIsCrypto even quipped, “This is the hardest #XRP bull market ever. Congratulations if you’re still here – we will get rich!”, underscoring the steep climb from XRP’s lows.
While optimistic in tone, the core observation is data-driven: repeated breakout moves have defined XRP’s price action recently.
Observers also note a possible seasonality to these breakouts: one trader pointed out that major rallies often emerged in March–April or July–August each year. If this cycle holds, another surge could align with late-2025.
Mixed Sentiment: Seasonal Rally or Liquidity Play?
Not everyone is convinced. The same chart post spurred debate among XRP holders. Some argue the pattern reflects genuine cycles and pent-up demand.
Others, however, see cautionary signs. One commentator (“Berserker”) warned that the market looks “liquidity-driven” rather than a real bull run.
He suggests that recent rallies may be driven by exchange inflows or broader cryptocurrency liquidity, rather than organic buying. This mirrors a common split in the community: are rallies simply recurring “seasonal” lifts, or will a true breakout take hold?
On the technical side, short-term charts have thrown mixed signals. XRP has formed a descending triangle with support near $2.78.
By contrast, other analysts see the tightening triangle as coiling for a breakout. The outcome of this tug-of-war will influence whether the $14 target is plausible or just aspirational.
Beyond charts, fundamental factors are bolstering XRP’s narrative. On-chain data show large investors accumulating XRP despite recent dips.
Whale addresses (holding 10–100M XRP) have added roughly 340 M coins in the past two weeks, bringing their combined stash to about 7.84 billion XRP.
CryptoQuant also reports wallets with 100,000+ XRP continuing to buy rather than sell. This suggests institutional or whale-level confidence at current prices.