Ripple ETF Odds Hit 87% — Is XRP Price Ready for a $6 Rally?

XRP price has been consolidating around the $2.80 support zone, attracting renewed attention as the market weighs upcoming catalysts. Despite broader volatility, buyers remain focused on reclaiming resistance levels that could validate a longer-term breakout. At the same time, Ripple ETF optimism continues to build, creating a narrative that is difficult to ignore for XRP.

XRP Price Action Shows Classic Breakout Structure With $6 Target In Play

With the current price sitting around $2.80, XRP structure is showing the hallmarks of a cup-and-handle formation, with resistance firmly placed near $3.55. This neckline has acted as a ceiling on multiple occasions, but the broader curve suggests accumulation rather than exhaustion.

From July to September, the asset traced a falling wedge after rejection near $3.50, often a bullish continuation signal when paired with a strong base. Key support remains anchored at $2.80, a level repeatedly defended despite corrective moves.

Should buyers force a move above $3.20, momentum toward the neckline would intensify, setting up the possibility of a decisive breakout. A clean push past $3.55 would activate the pattern, opening the path toward $6 in the coming months.

Indicators are now beginning to complement this structural view, with the RSI stabilizing around 42. This signals that sellers have lost their grip without dipping into oversold conditions.

On the other hand, Bollinger Bands have tightened considerably, reflecting suppressed volatility, which often precedes upward price trends. The mid-band near $2.95 has become a short-term pivot, serving as a dynamic resistance for intraday moves. Combined, these indicators suggest XRP is preparing for a stronger directional shift.

XRP Price Action — XRP/USDT 1-Day Chart (Source: TradingView)

Ripple ETF Approval Odds Hit 87% As Market Bets On A Major Upside Shift

Ripple ETF approval odds have jumped to 87%, injecting additional confidence into XRP’s price outlook. The SEC is currently reviewing 11 separate XRP ETF applications, with a key deadline set for October that could deliver a significant decision.

An approval would represent a major step forward for Ripple, putting it in the same league as Bitcoin and Ethereum in terms of institutional accessibility. Projections estimate that an ETF could attract as much as $5 billion in its opening month, underscoring the scale of potential demand.

Even without a ruling, the odds alone have already shifted sentiment, helping XRP sustain strength at higher levels of support. Therefore, this milestone has become one of the strongest catalysts currently shaping expectations for XRP’s next move.

Conclusively, XRP price continues to hold critical support zones while building a foundation for a potential breakout. Chart patterns indicate that a move above $3.55 could release significant upside energy. With ETF optimism climbing to 87%, sentiment now complements the technical picture. Together, these factors create conditions where XRP could realistically extend toward $6 in the near term.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

The major resistance sits at $3.55, which also marks the neckline of a cup-and-handle structure.

RSI divergence, stable readings near 42, and tightening Bollinger Bands suggest downside pressure is fading.

With approval odds at 87%, ETF speculation strengthens sentiment and could unlock billions in inflows.