QNT Technical Analysis Jan 21

QNT’s MACD histogram showing a positive trend and RSI stabilizing in the neutral zone indicate short-term momentum recovery signals; however, the overall downtrend maintains its dominance.

Trend Status and Momentum Analysis

Quant (QNT) is trading at 78.08 dollars as of January 21, 2026, recording a 4.25% decline in the last 24 hours and squeezing into the daily range of 76.41-81.59 dollars. Although the overall trend direction is determined as down, momentum indicators are giving mixed signals. The price positioned above the short-term EMA20 (77.36 dollars) carries local recovery potential. The Supertrend indicator is giving a bearish signal and pointing to the 93.68 dollar resistance. Volume is hovering around 11.73 million dollars, which is below recent period averages, indicating that momentum has not yet received strong confirmation. Among momentum oscillators, the MACD’s positive histogram stands out; this implies the formation of underlying buying pressure. However, with RSI at 51.03 stabilizing in the neutral zone, there are signs of weakening trend strength. In multi-timeframe (MTF) confluence, a total of 13 strong levels have been identified across 1D, 3D, and 1W timeframes: 3 supports/3 resistances on 1D, 2 supports/1 resistance on 3D, and 4 supports/3 resistances on 1W. This confluence predicts that the price could squeeze between the main 72.11 dollar support and 82.94 dollar resistance. Momentum analysis requires monitoring short-term bullish divergences despite the dominance of the downtrend.

RSI Indicator: Buy or Sell?

RSI Divergence Analysis

RSI (14) is currently positioned at 51.03 in the neutral zone, giving neither overbought nor oversold signals. No regular bearish divergence is observed on the daily chart; while the price pulled back to 76.41 dollars at recent lows, RSI appears to have recovered without making a lower low, suggesting potential hidden bullish divergence. On the weekly timeframe, RSI is forming higher lows compared to previous peaks, indicating resistance against the weakening downtrend momentum. Although the divergence strength has not yet been fully confirmed, RSI holding above the 50 level suggests buyers are stepping in. If the price holds the 76.52 dollar support, bullish divergence confirmation could come with RSI rising toward 60; otherwise, a drop below 40 would accelerate selling momentum.

Overbought/Oversold Zones

RSI above 70 is interpreted as overbought, below 30 as oversold, while QNT’s current 51 value reflects an ideal consolidation zone. Despite the 24-hour decline, RSI not dipping below 45 shows it has not approached oversold conditions and momentum has not exhausted. Historically, we observe that QNT prepares for trend changes when staying in the RSI 50-55 band for extended periods; this level stands out as a threshold where buyers accumulate.

MACD Signals and Histogram Dynamics

The MACD indicator is in bullish status; positive histogram bars above the signal line are observed, and the histogram’s expansion tendency confirms strengthening momentum. The MACD line is trading above the zero line, with bullish confirmation received in the last crossover. The histogram bars remaining positive even as they partially narrow recently shows that underlying buying momentum is preserved. On the daily chart, the MACD histogram exhibits slight expansion instead of contraction despite the price’s recent decline, signaling reduced selling pressure. If the histogram stays positive without approaching the zero line, short-term upward momentum is expected. On the weekly MACD, a signal line crossover is awaited; the current positive structure forms resistance against the overall downtrend. If confirmed by volume, this signal could trigger a move toward the 82.94 dollar resistance.

EMA Systems and Trend Strength

Short-Term EMAs

The price positioned above EMA20 (77.36 dollars) exhibits short-term bullish bias. The narrowing between EMA10 and EMA20 ribbon indicates consolidating trend strength; the price cutting above this ribbon is critical for momentum increase. If short-term EMAs hold at the 76.52 dollar support, trend strength recovers.

Medium/Long-Term EMA Supports

EMA50 and EMA200 confirm the medium-term downtrend; the price encounters resistance near EMA50 (around 80 dollars). In the EMA ribbon, long-term lines are downward sloping, weakening trend strength. Correction in medium-term EMAs could support a bullish scenario in momentum confluence; however, the current structure aligns with the bearish supertrend.

Bitcoin Correlation

Bitcoin at 88,709 dollars with a 2.58% decline is in a downtrend; main supports at 88,350, 86,637, and 85,129 dollars. BTC Supertrend giving a bearish signal, rising dominance poses risk for altcoins. QNT is highly correlated with BTC (around +0.85); if BTC breaks below 85,129, QNT could test the 72.11 dollar support. Conversely, if BTC breaks above 89,026 resistance, the path opens for QNT to 82.94-87.86 dollars. BTC movements will dominate QNT momentum; monitor BTC levels for QNT Spot Analysis and QNT Futures Analysis.

Momentum Outcome and Expectations

Momentum indicators paint a mixed picture for QNT: RSI in neutral balance carries divergence potential, MACD gives bullish momentum signal with positive histogram, short-term EMAs are supportive. Weak volume confirmation and overall downtrend necessitate a cautious approach. In MTF confluence, the 72.11-82.94 dollar range is critical; bullish target 108.59 dollars (score 47), bearish 46.53 dollars (score 21). Although momentum confluence shows upward shift, BTC downtrend is a pressure factor. Short-term, if 76.52 support holds, recovery with MACD expansion; if broken, selling accelerates. Observation: RSI 60+, MACD histogram expansion, and volume increase are key for bullish confirmation.