Near price analysis pivots at 2.11/2.08

Multi-timeframe analysis

NEAR Analysis — Daily (D1)

NEAR trades near $2.10, below the EMA20 2.31, EMA50 2.48, and EMA200 2.78. This alignment keeps the trend pressure on the downside, as rallies face supply at each moving average.

RSI (14) prints 37.12, sitting under 50. That indicates sellers still have the upper hand, and bounces could fade unless momentum improves.

MACD shows line and signal both at -0.12 with a flat histogram. Momentum is paused; bears are not accelerating, but bulls are not reclaiming control either.

Bollinger Bands center at 2.27 with the lower band at 2.02 and upper at 2.52. Price holding under the mid-band signals trend-following sellers remain active; volatility looks contained inside the envelope.

ATR (14) sits at 0.14. That’s moderate for NEAR, suggesting position sizing can reference 0.5–1.0× ATR for risk brackets.

Daily pivots: PP at 2.11, R1 at 2.13, S1 at 2.08. Trading just below PP hints the tape is fragile; losing S1 could invite a test of 2.02.

Intraday view — H1

On H1, price at $2.10 sits under the EMA20 2.12, EMA50 2.18, and EMA200 2.24. The bias remains soft, and sellers tend to fade pops into the EMAs.

RSI (14) is 41.28, still below 50. Intraday buyers look hesitant, keeping a mild bearish tilt.

MACD line at -0.02 vs signal -0.03 with a slight positive histogram. Momentum attempts to stabilize, but conviction is limited.

Bollinger mid at 2.10 with bands 2.05–2.15. Price hugging the middle band shows a balanced but weak tape; moves could expand if bands widen.

ATR (14) is 0.02, implying tight intraday ranges. Micro breaks may require patience to avoid noise.

Micro structure — M15

On M15, price at $2.10 lingers just below the EMA20 2.11, EMA50 2.11, and far below the EMA200 2.18. This micro down-bias suggests rallies are being sold quickly.

RSI (14) reads 45.98. Momentum is neutral-to-weak, aligning with a compressing market.

MACD is flat at 0 with no histogram expansion. This reflects indecision and low energy.

Bollinger setup: mid 2.11, bands 2.09–2.14. Price near the mid-band signals a holding pattern awaiting a catalyst.

ATR (14) at 0.01 underscores very narrow swings; breakout confirmation matters.

Across timeframes, D1 and H1 lean bearish while M15 is flat-to-soft. The structure suggests a cautious tone; without a catalyst, ranges could persist.

Trading scenarios

Bearish (main, D1-led)

Trigger: Failure below 2.11 PP or a clean break under 2.08 S1. Target: first 2.08, then 2.02. Invalidation: sustained close above 2.13; a stronger invalidation sits above 2.31 (EMA20). Risk: consider stops around 0.5–1.0× ATR (0.07–0.14).

Bullish recovery

Trigger: Reclaim 2.13 and push toward the Bollinger mid at 2.27, with follow-through to the EMA20 2.31. Target: 2.27 then 2.31. Invalidation: drop back below 2.10. Risk: initial risk bands near 0.5× ATR given fragile momentum.

Neutral range

Trigger: Ping-pong inside 2.08–2.13 while volatility stays muted. Target: fade edges toward the 2.10 mean. Invalidation: decisive daily close outside the range. Risk: keep size light, as ATR compression raises breakout risk.

Overall, this NEAR Analysis points to a seller’s market unless price reclaims the daily pivot and mid-band with momentum.

Market context

Total crypto market cap: $3.77T (24h change -1.04%). BTC dominance: 58.20%. Fear & Greed Index: 29 (Fear).

High Bitcoin dominance and a Fear reading usually weigh on altcoins; bids can remain selective while liquidity clusters around majors.

For more information on volatility, see the IMF.