Morpho falls 15% amid $500M outflow – Can it rebound to $2.8?

Key Takeaways

What’s driving Morpho’s recent price decline? 

A $500 million outflow, declining trading volume, and reduced investor leverage have fueled bearish momentum in the market.

Is there any sign of a potential recovery for MORPHO? 

Yes—spot buyers are accumulating, and technical indicators suggest a possible rally if the price holds the current demand zone and breaks resistance.

Falling on-chain usage among investors has been at the forefront of Morpho’s [MORPHO] price decline in the market.

DeFiLlama reports that the asset witnessed a $500 million outflow from the protocol, leading to a 15% decline in the past week.

Contract closure on the high

On-chain sentiment hasn’t been the only bearish factor in the market. At the time of publication, the derivatives market showed that major contracts continued to follow the decline.

Although minimal compared to earlier figures, total contract closures amounted to $2.17 million as investors backed away from using leverage to bet on the asset.

Source: CoinGlass

Likewise, momentum data shows that trading volume has continued to drop, indicating fewer investors are willing to trade the asset, now totaling $77.5 million, down 15% in the past day.

Community sentiment on CoinMarketCap shows that this may not be the final drop, as investors continue to confirm withdrawals of their holdings.

At the time of reporting, investors’ long positions dropped from 86% to 67% over the past four days.

When major liquidity moves out and investors withdraw, it adds to the overall bearish momentum and increases the tendency for further price declines.

Spot buyers back the MORPHO

Spot investors have remained persistently bullish. Analysis shows that this group collectively invested $4.9 million into MORPHO.

This move suggests that MORPHO tokens are being transferred from exchanges to private wallets for long-term holding.

Source: CoinGlass

At the same time, while major contract closures occurred in the derivatives market, the Taker Buy-Sell Ratio shows higher buying volume.

The ratio stood slightly above 1, at press time, confirming that buying pressure remains in the market. The rising funding rate further supports the fact that more contracts circulating in the derivatives market remain bullish.

This presents an opportunity for the market to make a quick turnaround from the current structure.

Bullish tendency remains high

Chart analysis indicates that MORPHO is at a crucial juncture, sitting within a strong demand zone. 

This zone, highlighted by a blue rectangle on the chart, has previously triggered three notable rallies. 

If the price breaks above the descending resistance, the current market setup suggests a potential move toward $2.8.

Source: TradingView

However, failure to hold this demand zone could drive the price lower.

The Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator shows that a rally is still likely, as the market remains in an accumulation phase.

At the time of writing, total accumulation volume stood at 21.51 million MORPHO, which could add to the overall bullish outlook for the price.