KMNO, in a sharp downtrend approaching critical supports at 0.03$, with RSI at 28 entering the oversold zone; however, bearish MACD and low volume indicate an increased risk of continued decline without a strong catalyst for upside.
Executive Summary
KMNO is facing a 3.03% decline at 0.03$ as of February 10, 2026, and the overall technical picture clearly shows a bearish outlook. While the main trend continues downward, the price remains below EMA20, holding at Supertrend resistance at 0.04$; despite RSI giving an oversold signal, MACD confirms momentum loss with a negative histogram. Critical supports at 0.0252$ and 0.0289$ are ready to be tested, while resistance levels are clear at 0.0300$ and 0.0341$. 9 strong levels have been identified across multiple timeframes, but low volume reflects weak market participation. Bitcoin’s bearish trend is creating pressure on altcoins, with a high risk/reward ratio; there may be short-term bounce potential, but the long-term downside target stands out at 0.0080$. Investors should also review the KMNO Spot Analysis and KMNO Futures Analysis sections.
Market Structure and Trend Status
Current Trend Analysis
KMNO’s current trend is moving in a clear down channel; a 3.03% loss was seen in the last 24 hours with tight movement in the 0.03$ range. The higher high/lower low structure is broken on the daily chart, while the long-term downtrend maintains dominance on the weekly timeframe. The Supertrend indicator gives a bearish signal, marking 0.04$ as resistance, which limits short-term recoveries. The price remaining below EMA20 (0.04$) reinforces the short-term bearish bias and confirms the absence of buyer dominance in the market structure. In the long-term outlook, 1-week candle closes are critical; if a close below 0.03$ occurs, the downside momentum could accelerate.
Structural Levels
Structural levels have been determined through multi-timeframe analysis, with a total of 9 strong levels across 1D/3D/1W timeframes: 2 supports/2 resistances on 1D, 1 support/2 resistances on 3D, and 4 supports/3 resistances distribution on 1W. Main support bands are clear at 0.0252$ (75/100 score) and 0.0289$ (67/100 score), aligned with past pivots and Fibonacci retracements. On the resistance side, 0.0300$ (78/100) forms a psychological threshold, while 0.0341$ (72/100) is the EMA50 intersection point. These structural levels confirm the market structure is downside-focused; volume will be important for breakout scenarios.
Technical Indicators Report
Momentum Indicators
RSI(14) at 28.31 has entered the oversold zone (below 30), signaling short-term bounce potential; however, this level was also seen during the bottom tests at the end of 2025, and no sustained recovery was achieved. The MACD indicator is in a bearish configuration, with the negative histogram expanding and staying below the signal line; this shows momentum favoring sellers. The Stochastic oscillator also gives an oversold signal below 20%, but the lack of divergence does not support a trend change. The overall momentum picture remains bearish with weak buying pressure; possible divergences in RSI should be closely monitored.
Trend Indicators
The EMA series exhibits a bearish alignment: Price is positioned below EMA20 (0.04$), EMA50 (0.045$), and EMA200 (0.06$). EMA20 acting as resistance confirms the short-term downtrend. Supertrend in bearish mode shows 0.04$ resistance, while the price below the Ichimoku Cloud carries potential to hit cloud resistance. Parabolic SAR also gives a sell signal. Trend indicators confirm the downtrend with confluence; EMA crossovers should be monitored.
Critical Support and Resistance Analysis
Support levels: 0.0252$ (75/100, daily low pivot), 0.0289$ (67/100, Fibonacci 0.618), below that 0.022$ (long-term support). Resistance levels: 0.0300$ (78/100, psychological/pivot), 0.0341$ (72/100, EMA20/Supertrend), above that 0.04$ (key resistance). These levels are supported by volume profiles; a volume cluster has formed around 0.03$. In a breakout scenario, a close above 0.0300$ is required for resistance breach; support breakdown below 0.0252$ could lead to rapid downside. Multi-timeframe confluence underscores the strength of these levels.
Volume and Market Participation
24-hour volume at 1.30M$ is at low levels; this is below the 7-day average and shows the trend continuing with weak participation. OBV (On-Balance Volume) shows negative divergence, meaning volume is decreasing as price falls – this may imply seller exhaustion. VWAP is below the daily average, with lack of institutional participation. Resistance tests will fail without a volume spike; typical low liquidity in altcoins increases volatility. Range-bound movement is expected unless market participation increases.
Risk Assessment
Risk/reward ratio is unfavorable: Bullish target 0.0481$ (score 8/100, ~60% upside), bearish target 0.0080$ (score 22/100, ~73% downside). From current 0.03$, stop-loss below 0.0252$ support, take-profit at 0.0341$ resistance can provide RR 1:1.5, but high BTC dependency adds risk layering. Main risks: BTC downside-correlated liquidations, fakeouts with low volume, lack of news flow. Positive scenario: 10% recovery with RSI bounce; negative: deep downside. Position sizing should be limited to 1-2% risk, prefer longs above support and shorts below resistance.
Bitcoin Correlation
KMNO, as an altcoin, shows high correlation with BTC (%0.85+); while BTC at 69,206$ with a 2.43% decline gives a bearish Supertrend signal (supports at 65,786$/62,155$), creating broad pressure on altcoins. If BTC cannot break 71,883$ resistance, KMNO will be dragged toward 0.0252$ support; BTC recovery would open room for 0.0341$ test. Rising BTC dominance delays altcoin rotation – BTC levels to watch: support breakdown triggers KMNO bear cascade, resistance break provides rally transformation.
Conclusion and Strategic Outlook
KMNO’s technical picture paints a dominant downtrend: Oversold RSI offers bounce hope, but bearish MACD, price below EMA, and low volume bring continuation risk to the forefront. Critical support at 0.0252$ must hold; breakdown opens path to 0.0080$ target. Strategically, prefer short positions above 0.0300$, longs on support bounce. Stay cautious with bearish BTC context. Long-term investors should not hunt bottoms, swing traders enter RR-focused. This analysis provides a comprehensive view while reminding that market dynamics can change rapidly – continuous updates are essential.
This analysis uses the market views and methodology of Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal.