Hedera Price Prediction: HBAR Struggles at $0.153 as Open Interest and Momentum Fade

Hedera (HBAR) continues to face selling pressure after failing to hold above key support levels in recent trading sessions.

The price action across hourly and daily charts reflects persistent weakness, while participation from speculative traders appears to be diminishing.

As of July 5, 2025, HBAR is trading just above $0.153, marking a steady downtrend that has unsettled bullish momentum. Current indicators suggest that without renewed volume or open interest growth, a deeper retracement may follow.

Market Activity Shows Weak Bullish Participation

The 24-hour HBAR chart covering July 4 to July 5 presents a consistent decline in price, with the token falling from just above $0.160 to a session low around $0.152. This downward move took place without notable price recovery, reflecting sustained pressure from sellers.

The final price of $0.153071 represents a 5.38% drop over the period, highlighting bearish dominance throughout the day. The price trajectory shows minimal buying interest, with resistance remaining firm across intraday levels.

Source: BraveNewCoin

Trading volume followed a similar pattern, peaking early before tapering off in the latter half of the day. With $162.37 million in volume, there was substantial market activity, but the flow was skewed heavily toward exits rather than accumulation.

Reduced volume late in the session suggests market participants are uncertain and may be waiting for external catalysts. Hedera’s market cap has declined to approximately $6.49 billion, keeping it ranked at 27 despite ongoing price weakness.

Open Interest and Range-Bound Structure Underscore Indecision

On the 1-hour HBAR/USDT chart from Open Interest, price fluctuations have been confined within a narrow range between $0.153 and $0.162 since the post-June rally. A sharp move above $0.162 on June 30 was quickly reversed, triggering a consolidation pattern that has since remained intact.

As of the latest hourly candle, the token trades near $0.15314 with a marginal decline of 0.23%. This price level marks the lower boundary of the recent range, placing pressure on bulls to defend support.

Source: Open Interest

Aggregated open interest (OI) data shows reduced trader engagement following the price retracement. From June 28 to June 30, open interest rose sharply alongside the price spike, but both metrics declined during the pullback.

Despite a modest recovery in early July, OI has not reclaimed earlier highs, suggesting a lack of speculative momentum. A confirmed breakout above $0.158 with rising OI may be required to validate a bullish trend reversal, while failure to hold current levels could expose HBAR to a test of $0.146.

Indicators Signal Weak Momentum Near Key Support

The daily chart reveals that HBAR remains under downside pressure following a multi-month decline from its yearly high near $0.40. The token is now trading near the bottom of a sideways structure, with recent daily candles showing limited volatility and reduced volume. Price closed at $0.15296 on July 5, sitting near local support and failing to show significant recovery signals.

Source: TradingView

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently reads 48.22, slightly below the neutral midpoint, indicating subdued buying strength. A modest bullish divergence appears as the RSI remains above its signal line, though it lacks the strength to prompt a definitive reversal.

Meanwhile, the MACD indicator shows a weak crossover, with the MACD line at -0.00303 and the signal line at -0.00509. While the histogram has turned marginally positive, both lines remain below zero, emphasizing that bearish momentum has not fully dissipated. Until HBAR reclaims resistance near $0.165, the token is likely to remain within a tight and uncertain trading range.