GMX Price Rallies 13% Spike As Total Value Locked Reaches Record Highs

GMX traded lower on Thursday after rising as much as 13% the day before hitting highs above $54. The spike in the GMX price on Wednesday came after the Decentralised Perpetual Exchange token bounced off support at $49, slightly above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). As long as GMX was trading above this level, investors could consider the short-term outlook to be positive.

Meanwhile, on-chain metrics ranging from total value locked (TVL) to increasing transaction volume on the platform could trigger investor interest resulting in a massive breakout for GMX.

High TVL Means More users, Which Translates To More Cash

GMX is a decentralized exchange (DEX) specializing in spot and margin trading that uses a proprietary multi-asset pool that generates revenue for liquidity providers through market making, swap fees, and leverage trading. Its usage has grown steadily since its launch in 2021, leading to an increase in its total value locked (TVL). In fact, in the wake of the 2022 crypto winter, GMX’s TVL grew by over 300% hitting record highs of $514.14 million on November 6.

At press time, the TVL on GMX was 513.36 million, giving it a share of 37.37% of Arbitrum network’s overall TVL of $1.17 billion.

GMX’s Total Value Locked

The recent increase in Total Value Locked has been attributed to the increase in the total count of users on the platform. According to data from GMX Stats, the number of users on the DEX has increased by more than 120% since the start of the year with a consistent increase in the daily counts of new and existing users.

It goes without saying that increased network activity (from increased usage) has led to the growth of the trading volume on GMS. At the time of writing, the volume on the exchange stood at $10.6 billion, having risen more than 200% since the year began (See chart below).

GMX Cumulative Trading Volume and Fees

Moreover, the fees paid to process transactions on the DEX have also grown tremendously. Since the start of the year, GMX has recorded cumulative transaction fees of $19.54 million as can be seen in the chart above.

GMX Price Bulls Could Exploit The Inverse Head And Shoulders Pattern

A crypto trader and pseudonymous Twitter user TraderLBI was confident about GMX’s upward trajectory after posting a chart showing the price holding above a long-term ascending trendline. The post indicated a possible 20% upward move for GMX.

$gmx looks ready for another run.
20%+ move inbound.

Besides DCA with rewards, i havent added in bulk in a while. Its currently 13% of my portfolio.

If #btc rolls over & $gmx breaks trendline, i will sell some & look to reaccumulate lower.

Thinking we head higher though pic.twitter.com/X71tdIvVB9

— TraderLBI 🫐 (💙,🧡) (@lbi_trader) January 23, 2023

This was a good insight into the GMX price structure as the daily chart below showed the appearance of an inverse head and shoulders (H&S) pattern projecting a massive upward breakout. Note that the chart pattern would be confirmed if the price breaks above the neckline at $85.57, paving the way for the target of the governing chart pattern around $73, approximately 40% above the current price.

Before reaching this level, the DEX token would have to deal with resistance posed by the $60 psychological level. Note that the last time the price broke above this level, it resulted in a fake out as supplier congestion from this area sent the price tumbling toward the 50-day SMA.

GMX/USD Daily Chart

Several technical indicators supported GMX’s positive analysis. To start with, the price sat on relatively strong support on the downside provided by the ascending trendline of the right shoulder, the 50-day SMA at $47, and the 100-day SMA at 44. In addition, the position of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 59 indicated that the buyers were stronger than the sellers and were focused on pushing the price higher.

However, things could go awry for the bulls if GMX attempted a pullback to the $50 support level away from the neckline and later to the 50-day SMA. If sellers pulled the GMX price under the tip of the right shoulder around $44, where the 200-day SMA sat, it could dip further toward the tip of the head at $37.78, completely invalidating the positive narrative.

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