FedWatch Tool Indicates High Likelihood of Rate Hold in July

Key Points:

  • Current Fed policy impacts Ethereum and Binance Coin markets.
  • Market anticipates volatility with FedWatch rate projections.
  • Interest rates hold potential to affect crypto trading patterns.

BlockBeats reported that CME’s “FedWatch” indicates a 97.4% chance the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady as of July 2025.

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The high probability reflects market confidence in stable monetary policy, influencing cryptocurrency prices with Ethereum and Bitcoin showing volatility amid broader macroeconomic conditions.

Ethereum’s Market Growth Amid Fed’s Rate Decisions

According to CoinMarketCap, Ethereum stands at $3,869.94, revealing a market cap of $467.14 billion. Its dominance is at 11.84% with 24-hour trading at $28.74 billion, increasing by 16.79%. Despite short-term fluctuations, Ethereum’s 90-day price surged by 115.18%, showcasing robust growth. Coincu’s research anticipates minimal Fed rate updates to result in continued crypto resilience, given historical stability during similar scenarios. This aligns with expectations of market steadiness until further economic clarity emerges.

Coincu’s research anticipates minimal Fed rate updates to result in continued crypto resilience, given historical stability during similar scenarios.

“Our strategic focus remains on ecosystem growth and compliance, which are key to BNB’s long-term strength.” — Changpeng Zhao (CZ), Founder and Former CEO, Binance

Binance Coin’s Market Position

Did you know? Fed rate announcements can historically lead to rapid shifts in crypto sentiment, especially during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty, illustrating the ongoing interplay between traditional finance and digital currencies.

Binance Coin persisted, reinforcing a cautious trading environment.

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Ethereum(ETH), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 23:53 UTC on July 27, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap

Coincu’s research anticipates minimal Fed rate updates to result in continued crypto resilience, given historical stability during similar scenarios.

Source: https://coincu.com/markets/fedwatch-july-rate-impact-crypto/