Federal Reserve Governor Supports 50bp Rate Cut Amid Market Speculations

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran is advocating for a significant interest rate cut, proposing a 50 basis point decrease amid ongoing economic uncertainties, as of October 16, 2025.

The market broadly anticipates a smaller 25 basis point cut, reflecting Miran’s influence and potential implications for liquidity shifts in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Unprecedented Rate Cut Expectations: Miran vs. Market Consensus

Governor Stephen Miran has emerged as a prominent advocate for substantial interest rate cuts, arguing that “downside risks are greater now” due to ongoing trade policy uncertainties. He believes rates should reflect these risks with a total 1.25 percentage point reduction by year-end. However, the market appears confident in a 25bp cut, with CME FedWatch data showing a 97.3% probability of this outcome.

The broader financial landscape would witness an increase in liquidity should rates decrease further, potentially driving more institutional flows into risk assets, including major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Historically, lower rates have enhanced dollar liquidity, influencing institutional allocations toward profitable ventures such as digital assets and equities. On the ground, market sentiment is mixed. While Miran’s call for a larger cut reflects concerns over economic uncertainties, Chair Jerome Powell emphasizes a prudent approach, remaining open to moderate easing based on labor market conditions. Market participants, including financial analysts and investors, are closely monitoring the situation for impacts that could influence investment strategies and asset allocations.

The downside risks are greater now than they were a week ago. I believe, as policymakers, we have a responsibility to recognize this and let our policies reflect that change. The uncertainty surrounding trade policy has introduced a ‘new tail risk.’ – Stephen Miran, Governor, Federal Reserve Source

Cryptocurrency Liquidity Boost: Impact of Potential Rate Cuts

Did you know? During the 2020 pandemic, the Fed’s 150bp rate cut led to a dramatic cryptocurrency surge with Bitcoin and Ethereum experiencing significant rallies, highlighting the potential effects of liquidity shifts.

According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin’s (BTC) current price stands at $111,360.64, with a market cap of $2.22 trillion. Despite holding a dominant market share of 58.69%, it has seen a 0.68% decrease over the past 24 hours. In the last seven days, Bitcoin has dropped 9.26%. Trading volume reached $73.11 billion, marking an 11.56% decline. These fluctuations underscore the market’s sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts like interest rate cuts.

Coincu’s research team suggests that further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could enhance capital flows into cryptocurrencies, paralleling historical trends during periods of rapid monetary easing. Financial markets, including cryptocurrencies, are likely to maintain increased volatility as rate cut sentiments develop further. This dynamic continues to unfold amidst economic uncertainties and monetary policy shifts globally.