ETF analyst predicts Grayscale Dogecoin ETF launch in a week

Key Takeaways

When does an ETF analyst expect Grayscale’s Dogecoin ETF to launch?

An ETF analyst predicts that Grayscale’s GDOG could begin trading in a week, based on the firm’s S-1 registration statement filed in August 2025, although no exchange announcement has been made yet.

How does Grayscale’s pending DOGE ETF differ from the already-trading DOJE?

Grayscale’s GDOG will hold actual Dogecoin through Coinbase Custody, while REX-Osprey’s DOJE launched in September using derivatives.

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas believes Grayscale could launch its Dogecoin ETF in a week, potentially adding a second DOGE investment product to U.S. markets. 

The prediction comes despite no formal SEC approval timeline, as Grayscale’s trust-to-ETF conversion follows the firm’s established pattern with previous crypto products.

Grayscale filed its S-1 registration statement for the Dogecoin Trust on August 15, 2025, seeking to convert the private placement into a publicly traded ETF under ticker symbol GDOG. 

The firm submitted a corresponding 19b-4 application to NYSE Arca on January 31, requesting listing approval for the shares.

Comparing Grayscale’s Dogecoin and REX-Osprey ETFs

Grayscale’s timeline contrasts sharply with REX-Osprey’s successful launch. 

The REX-Osprey DOGE ETF began trading on September 18, 2025, under the ticker DOJE on the CBOE exchange. The fund captured first-mover status by utilizing a different regulatory pathway.

REX-Osprey structured DOJE under the Investment Company Act of 1940 rather than the Securities Act of 1933.

This approach allowed automatic effectiveness after 75 days without explicit SEC approval, provided regulators raised no objections. 

DOJE’s structure differs fundamentally from Grayscale’s proposed product. 

The fund allocates 80% of assets to Dogecoin exposure through futures contracts and derivatives, with the remaining 20% held in U.S. Treasury securities. 

A Cayman Islands subsidiary manages the actual DOGE positions, circumventing direct custody requirements that have complicated traditional crypto ETF approvals.

The REX-Osprey fund does not hold physical Dogecoin. Instead, investors gain synthetic exposure through regulated derivatives markets. 

This indirect approach satisfied the 1940 Act requirements while avoiding the lengthy review process faced by Grayscale, Bitwise, and other firms pursuing traditional spot ETF structures.

Different paths, different products

Grayscale’s GDOG will offer direct Dogecoin holdings if approved. The trust uses the CoinDesk DOGE CCIXber Reference Rate for daily pricing, aggregating data from major U.S. trading platforms including Coinbase, Kraken, and Crypto.com.

Analysis of the DOGE price trend shows it has followed the general price trend. Over the last seven days, the price has declined, currently trading around $0.16 as of this writing.