COINOTAG News notes that Orient Securities, citing a Dutch international bank, expects the Fed to trim policy rates by 50bp in 2026. With growth intact, unemployment suppressed, and equities broadly supported, inflation sits around 3%, signaling limited easing. Yet the bank argues the inflation backdrop could tilt toward rate cuts as energy prices ease, rents slow, and wage momentum softens. Tariff threats waned, buying time for inflation to drift toward 2%. The forecast calls for two 25bp cuts in 2026, potentially in March and June, per Orient Securities.
From a crypto markets perspective, dovish monetary policy would likely pressure the US dollar and bolster risk assets, including digital tokens and DeFi platforms. Traders should watch policy signals and employment data, as revisions could reprice growth-sensitive assets and boost liquidity in crypto markets. The forecast aligns with an accommodative regime that may attract capital flows into crypto infrastructure and related equities.