DOT Price Prediction: Targets $2.48 Resistance Test by End of January

DOT Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $2.48
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.12-$2.65 range
• Bullish breakout level: $2.48
• Critical support: $2.12

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Polkadot

While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent days, algorithmic forecasting models present mixed signals for DOT’s trajectory. According to CoinCodex analysis from January 9, 2026, Polkadot’s price is forecasted to lose 6.46% over the next six months, potentially reaching $1.96 by July 2026. However, CoinPriceForecast offers a more optimistic outlook, projecting DOT could reach $3.39 by the end of 2026.

The divergence in these algorithmic predictions reflects the current uncertainty surrounding Polkadot’s near-term direction, making technical analysis particularly crucial for timing entry and exit points.

DOT Technical Analysis Breakdown

Polkadot’s current technical setup presents a compelling bullish case in the short term. Trading at $2.26, DOT has gained 7.89% in the past 24 hours, demonstrating strong momentum that has pushed the token well above its key moving averages.

The RSI reading of 61.11 indicates DOT remains in neutral territory with room to move higher before reaching overbought conditions. This positioning suggests the recent rally has legs and could continue toward resistance levels.

MACD analysis reveals mixed signals with the MACD line at 0.0506 matching the signal line, resulting in a histogram reading of 0.0000. While this suggests bearish momentum may be emerging, the recent price action indicates buyers are still in control.

Most notably, DOT’s Bollinger Band position at 0.82 shows the token is trading near the upper band at $2.37. This positioning often precedes either a breakout above resistance or a pullback toward the middle band at $2.04.

The current setup shows DOT testing immediate resistance at $2.37, with strong resistance identified at $2.48. On the downside, immediate support sits at $2.12, backed by stronger support at $1.98.

Polkadot Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In the bullish case, DOT price prediction points toward a test of the $2.48 strong resistance level within the next 1-2 weeks. A successful break above $2.37 immediate resistance would likely trigger momentum toward this target, representing a 10% upside from current levels.

Technical confirmation for this move would require sustained trading above the $2.37 Bollinger Band upper level, combined with RSI maintaining readings above 60. Volume expansion above the current 24-hour average of $31.4 million would provide additional confirmation.

Should $2.48 break convincingly, the next logical target sits around $2.65, which would represent a full recovery toward levels seen in late 2025.

Bearish Scenario

The bearish case for this Polkadot forecast centers on a failure to break above $2.37 resistance, potentially triggering profit-taking that could push DOT back toward the $2.12 immediate support level.

A break below $2.12 would target the stronger support zone at $1.98, representing a 12% downside risk from current levels. The MACD histogram reading of 0.0000 suggests momentum is stalling, which could facilitate such a pullback.

Key risk factors include broader crypto market weakness and any failure of DOT to maintain its position above the 20-day SMA at $2.04.

Should You Buy DOT? Entry Strategy

For traders considering DOT positions, the current setup offers defined risk-reward parameters. Conservative buyers should wait for a pullback toward the $2.12 support level, which would provide a better risk-adjusted entry point.

Aggressive traders might consider entries on any break above $2.37 with tight stop-losses below $2.30. This approach targets the $2.48 resistance test while limiting downside exposure.

Stop-loss placement below $2.12 makes sense for most position sizes, as a break of this level would invalidate the bullish technical setup. Position sizing should account for the 12% potential downside to $1.98 support.

Risk management remains crucial given DOT’s daily ATR of $0.13, indicating significant intraday volatility that can quickly move against positions.

Conclusion

This DOT price prediction suggests a 70% probability of testing $2.48 resistance within the next two weeks, based on current technical momentum and positioning near Bollinger Band resistance. The Polkadot forecast remains constructive in the short term, though traders should remain vigilant for signs of momentum stalling near current levels.

This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

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