DOT Price Prediction: Polkadot Eyes $2.75-$2.83 Recovery Rally Despite Medium-Term Risk to $1.97



Darius Baruo
Nov 26, 2025 06:52

DOT price prediction shows oversold bounce potential to $2.75-$2.83 within 1-2 weeks, but medium-term Polkadot forecast warns of possible decline to $1.97 by December 8.



DOT Price Prediction: Polkadot Eyes $2.75-$2.83 Recovery Rally Despite Medium-Term Risk to $1.97

DOT Price Prediction Summary

DOT short-term target (1-2 weeks): $2.75-$2.83 (+20-24% upside potential)
Polkadot medium-term forecast (2-3 weeks): $1.97-$2.50 range with downside risk
Key level to break for bullish continuation: $2.74 (SMA 20 resistance)
Critical support if bearish: $2.18 (immediate support) and $2.05 (Bollinger lower band)

Recent Polkadot Price Predictions from Analysts

The latest DOT price prediction from analysts reveals a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook for Polkadot. Rich by Coin’s analysis stands as the most bullish, targeting $2.75-$2.83 in the short term based on DOT trading near its 52-week low of $2.26 with oversold RSI conditions at 30.27.

However, AI-driven forecasts from CoinLore present a more conservative Polkadot forecast, predicting a slight decline to $2.27 by November 27 and a more significant drop to $1.97 by December 8, 2025. This bearish medium-term outlook contrasts with Cryptopolitan’s longer-term optimism, which sees DOT averaging $2.87 throughout 2025.

The analyst consensus suggests immediate oversold relief is likely, but the medium-term trajectory remains uncertain with potential for deeper corrections.

DOT Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Oversold Bounce

The current Polkadot technical analysis reveals compelling oversold conditions that typically precede relief rallies. With DOT’s RSI at 32.53, the token has moved into neutral territory from deeply oversold levels, suggesting selling pressure may be exhausting.

The MACD histogram at -0.0359 shows bearish momentum is weakening, while DOT’s position at 0.1778 on the Bollinger Bands indicates the price is hugging the lower band at $2.05. This technical setup often precedes mean reversion moves back toward the middle band at $2.74.

Trading volume of $15.2 million on Binance provides adequate liquidity for any potential bounce, though it’s not exceptionally high to confirm strong bullish conviction. The daily ATR of $0.22 suggests moderate volatility that could support a $0.50+ move in either direction.

Polkadot Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for DOT

The primary DOT price target in a bullish scenario sits at $2.75-$2.83, representing the SMA 20 resistance zone where selling pressure previously emerged. Breaking above $2.74 would signal the beginning of a more substantial recovery toward $2.93 (SMA 50).

For this bullish case to materialize, DOT needs to maintain support above $2.18 and show RSI momentum building above 40. A successful break of $2.50 (key psychological level) would confirm the oversold bounce thesis and target the $2.75-$2.83 range within 7-14 days.

Bearish Risk for Polkadot

The bearish scenario aligns with AI model predictions showing a DOT price target of $1.97 by early December. A break below $2.18 immediate support would expose the Bollinger lower band at $2.05, and failure to hold this level could trigger a test of the $1.97 zone.

Critical risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, failure to generate buying interest above $2.30, and continued MACD bearish divergence. The distance from the 52-week high of -56.79% demonstrates the severity of DOT’s correction and potential for further downside if support levels fail.

Should You Buy DOT Now? Entry Strategy

Based on current technical levels, a layered entry strategy appears most prudent for those considering whether to buy or sell DOT. The first entry opportunity sits at current levels around $2.29, with a tight stop-loss below $2.18 immediate support.

A more conservative approach involves waiting for a break above $2.50 to confirm the oversold bounce before entering, targeting $2.75-$2.83. Risk management should include position sizing no more than 2-3% of portfolio allocation given the mixed medium-term Polkadot forecast.

Stop-loss placement below $2.05 (Bollinger lower band) provides a logical exit point if the bearish scenario plays out, limiting downside risk to approximately 10-12% from current levels.

DOT Price Prediction Conclusion

The DOT price prediction points to a probable short-term bounce to $2.75-$2.83 within 1-2 weeks, supported by oversold RSI conditions and proximity to key support levels. However, the medium-term Polkadot forecast remains cautious with potential for decline toward $1.97 if broader market conditions deteriorate.

Confidence Level: MEDIUM – The technical setup favors a near-term bounce, but conflicting analyst predictions and weak broader trend suggest maintaining defensive position sizing.

Key indicators to monitor include RSI momentum above 40 for bullish confirmation, MACD histogram turning positive, and most critically, DOT’s ability to reclaim and hold above $2.50. Timeline for this prediction spans 7-21 days, with the first week being crucial for determining whether the oversold bounce materializes or if further downside awaits.

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Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20251126-price-prediction-dot-polkadot-eyes-275-283-recovery-rally