Dogecoin: 72% of DOGE traders could be wrong! – Why?

• Dogecoin breaks trendline as bulls eye $0.2036 amid strong Long/Short Ratio dominance.
• Whale accumulation and rising options activity signal confidence despite recent long liquidations.

Dogecoin [DOGE] traders on Binance are showing overwhelming optimism, with 72.13% of open positions currently long. This strong bias has driven the Long/Short Ratio to 2.59, clearly signaling that market participants are heavily betting on upside potential. 

However, at press time, DOGE hovered around $0.1538, down 4.12% over the past 24 hours.

This contrast between sky-high optimism and sliding prices raised the question: Is this bullish bet a breakout in disguise—or a setup for whiplash?

DOGE price action hints at breakout potential—but can key resistance fall?

DOGE’s price structure hints at a potential bullish breakout, though confirmation is still pending.

The asset has been consolidating within a horizontal range, between $0.1441 support and $0.2036 resistance, for over a month.

Recently, DOGE broke a downward trendline that had been active since mid-February, signaling a possible trend reversal. Additionally, a double-bottom pattern has formed within this range, strengthening breakout expectations.

If DOGE breaks and holds above $0.2036, it could trigger a rally toward the next resistance at $0.2867. However, failing to hold $0.1441 may invalidate this bullish setup, exposing DOGE to renewed downside pressure.

Source: TradingView

Derivatives, liquidations, and whale signals offer mixed but promising clues

From a derivatives’ perspective, futures activity is cooling off as traders reduce exposure. Total futures volume dropped by 6.82%, while Open Interest(OI) dipped by 3.82%, signaling decreased participation.

In contrast, options markets were surging. Volume increased by 21.50%, and OI climbed 20.67%, reflecting higher bets on volatility.

Meanwhile, liquidation trends shifted slightly. $1.22 million in long positions were wiped out, compared to just $374K in shorts.

This imbalance suggests that longs are more vulnerable, especially if DOGE remains stuck in its current range.

Source: CoinGlass

Despite this, whale activity provides a compelling counterweight to the cautious tone. Over the last 48 hours, major players have accumulated more than 800 million DOGE. This level of buying during a period of consolidation suggests confidence in an upcoming rally. 

Historically, such accumulation has preceded major breakouts, especially when paired with technical setups and market-wide optimism.

Will DOGE finally break free?

 Dogecoin is at a pivotal point, backed by whale accumulation, a bullish chart setup, and strong long positioning.

However, traders should remain cautious due to recent long liquidations and cooling futures activity.

A confirmed breakout above $0.2036 could validate the bullish outlook and drive a rally toward $0.2867. For now, DOGE remains in a phase of anticipation, poised for either an explosive breakout or a neutral consolidation.