DOGE Price Prediction: Will the Drop in Whale Transactions Lead to More Losses for Dogecoin?

• A decline in whale activity reflects diminishing confidence among major investors, adding downward pressure to the Dogecoin price.
• DOGE price has dropped below critical support levels, with the RSI at 48 and bearish signals from the MACD indicator pointing to continued downtrend momentum.

Despite the slight rebound today, the Dogecoin (DOGE) price maintains its decreasing pattern while trading in the $0.25 zone as its weekly value devalued by nearly 2%. Indicators show that market participants maintain a negative outlook which leads to predictions of reduced prices. Santiment’s on-chain data indicates major investors are no longer participating in large transactions because the number of these transactions has dropped considerably.

Dogecoin Whale Transactions Show Sharp Decline

The Dogecoin market price failed to recover beyond its mid-January value and experienced a 30% reduction. The decrease in whale activity corresponds with declining large investor accumulation, which has led to this price downfall.

Analysis by Santiment demonstrates that costly transactions above $100,000 have strongly diminished, moving from 20,200 in early November to 6,200. The number of $1 million+ transactions has dropped dramatically from 3,490 to 850 since early November until now. Large whale transactions have significantly decreased because big holders are growing less confident in DOGE, adding more selling pressure to the crypto market.

Technical Indicators Signal Further Correction

Earlier, during the past week, Dogecoin price regressed by 7.15% causing it to drop below the important Fibonacci retracement level at $0.27. The price area remains stuck near $0.24 support zone during the initial week which indicates an extended bearish trend.

Moreover, the continued selloffs would drive DOGE prices to scan its main support barrier at $0.18. RSI on the weekly timeframe shows a value of 48, which confirms the ascending bearish market sentiment. A bearish signal within the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator confirms the analysis that prices will likely continue moving downward.

Dogecoin’s negative market outlook is indicated by falling whale activity together with bearish technical signifiers, which point to an upcoming period of pressure. Whilst, the derivatives data also shows an unfavorable image. According to Coinglass stats, the DOGE open interest slipped by 0.80% to $2.28 billion. This hasn’t stopped analysts from predicting a 306x return on DOGE moving ahead, as reported. CNF. 

The decline in open interest suggests lower interest among traders as DOGE price suffers from a sluggish trend. Furthermore, Dogecoin’s long liquidations amounted to $5.77 million in the last 24 hours. This suggests significant sell pressure for DOGE, which could further exacerbate the ongoing downtrend.

However, Dogecoin supporters remain hopeful about Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s support towards DOGE, as seen in the past. Historically, DOGE prices have rocketed significantly after Musk’s positive comments. Hence, analysts expect a similar situation as Musk is currently leading the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E) under U.S. President Donald Trump. Furthermore, analysts are hopeful for a Dogecoin ETF approval under the Trump administration, as mentioned in our previous story.