Cardano is holding firm after a sharp sell-off, with key support levels defending, and participants are eyeing a potential breakout from its long-term triangle structure.
Cardano’s latest pullback shook the market, but its long-term structure remains intact. Despite the heavy sell pressure, buyers have stepped in around crucial support zones, signaling that sentiment may be shifting back in favor of the bulls.
Technical Outlook: Cardano’s Structure Holds Firm
Despite one of the harshest single-day sell-offs this quarter, ADA’s structure is showing early signs of recovery. Growk Finance’s chart highlights that Cardano remains within a 4-year symmetrical triangle, a long-term consolidation structure that has historically preceded massive breakout phases. Short-term, the $0.70–$0.72 zone has started to act as firm support after repeated intraday defenses.
Cardano maintains its long-term triangle structure, holding firm above key support levels as momentum starts to shift back in favor of the bulls. Source: Growk Finance via X
A breakout from this structure could set ADA on course towards the $1.10 to $1.20 zone, aligning with the upper boundary of the pattern. Momentum indicators are gradually turning up from oversold regions, suggesting that bulls may be regaining control. If price continues to hold above $0.68, the broader bullish outlook remains valid, with this flush possibly serving as the final shakeout before the next expansion phase.
Cardano Targeting Short-Term Recovery Towards $0.82
Cardano’s price is forming a clean V-shaped recovery from its recent bottom. Price action now points towards a short-term upside target of $0.82, a level aligning with both historical resistance and key volume imbalances. Mahad Mooge’s chart shows ADA reclaiming structure quickly after liquidity swept below the $0.65 area, an early signal that buyers stepped in aggressively.
Cardano shows a sharp V-shaped rebound, with buyers reclaiming key levels and eyeing a move towards the $0.82 resistance zone. Source: Mahad Mooge via X
Holding above $0.70 remains crucial to validate this recovery setup. The reaction near $0.82 will determine whether ADA Cardano price transitions into a new bullish leg or enters consolidation. If buyers maintain control through this level, the next extension could target $0.92, opening the door for a full retrace of last week’s dump.
Liquidation Clusters Hint at Volatility Surge
According to TapTools data, over $62 million in leveraged positions stand at risk if Cardano tests $0.81. That level now acts as the key liquidity magnet in the short term, where a move higher could trigger one of the largest liquidation events for ADA this quarter. Such setups often lead to cascading moves, either amplifying short squeezes or creating abrupt reversals once liquidity is cleared.
ADA faces over $62 million in liquidation exposure near $0.81. Source: TapTools via X
Deezy added that nearly all ADA long positions from the November 2024 rally have now been wiped out, resetting the derivatives landscape completely. This flush has paved the way for a clean structure, where open interest resets and funding stabilizes, ideal conditions for a potential long squeeze scenario.
The Cardano derivatives market is creating ideal conditions for a potential long squeeze setup. Source: Deezy via X
With liquidation clusters sitting between $0.78 and $0.82, volatility is expected to intensify. If bulls push through that range, Cardano price could rally sharply as short sellers get forced out of position.
Long-Term Comparison Shows Cycle Similarities
ADA/BTC performance to 2020–2021 reveals striking structural similarities. Both phases feature deep drawdowns followed by multi-month compression within descending channels, preceding explosive upside breakouts. The resemblance suggests that Cardano price might be entering a comparable accumulation phase once again, with potential for significant outperformance once momentum returns.
ADA/BTC pair mirrors its 2020–2021 cycle, trading near historic support. Source: Beastlorion via X
Technically, ADA/BTC now trades near a historic support zone that marked previous macro bottoms. If the pair holds these levels and confirms a breakout above its diagonal resistance, it could re-establish the broader uptrend against Bitcoin. Such patterns have historically aligned with early bull-cycle rotations, making this setup one worth watching closely in the weeks ahead.
Final Thoughts: Cardano Price Prediction for Q4 2025
Cardano’s technical and on-chain structure suggests that the recent volatility may have acted as a reset rather than a rejection. The asset continues to hold its long-term base above the $0.65 to $0.68 range, a zone that has repeatedly attracted institutional-sized bids in past cycles. With liquidation clusters now cleared and open interest resetting, ADA appears better positioned for a measured rebound as market conditions stabilize. Sustaining above $0.70 could validate a gradual recovery towards the $0.82 to $0.92 resistance corridor in the coming weeks.
Cardano price is trading around $0.72, up 0.66% in the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin
From a broader Cardano Price Prediction standpoint, the fourth quarter of 2025 could mark the transition phase from consolidation to expansion. A confirmed breakout from the 4-year symmetrical triangle would likely signal the start of ADA’s next macro leg, potentially targeting the $1.20 to $1.40 zone.