BNB Analysis: Multi-timeframe view
D1 — Daily structure
BNB price at 1112.14 trades below the EMA20 1119.66, above the EMA50 1071.62, and well above the EMA200 869.93. This shows short-term hesitation, while the broader trend remains constructive if buyers defend higher lows.
The RSI 49.83 sits just under 50, indicating a neutral-to-slightly bearish bias; buyers seem hesitant to push a clear breakout.
The MACD line (3.29) is below the signal (10.07) with a negative histogram (-6.78), confirming soft momentum; if this persists, rallies could stall quickly.
Against the Bollinger Bands, price is below the middle band (1135.17) and far from the upper band (1262.44), leaning toward mean-reversion rather than expansion.
ATR 56.50 signals moderate daily volatility; position sizing may need some cushion, but ranges remain navigable.
Daily pivot levels: PP 1107.43, R1 1124.86, S1 1094.71. Hovering near PP suggests two-way trade as participants test both sides.
H1 — Intraday bias
On the hourly, price at 1112.14 sits near the EMA20 1112.60, below the EMA50 1117.56 and EMA200 1115.90. Intraday trend is slightly heavy unless 1116–1118 reclaims.
RSI 48.99 keeps the bias cautious; bulls lack urgency. The MACD line (-1.11) is above the signal (-1.67) with a small positive histogram (0.56), hinting at a fragile attempt to firm up.
Bands are tight (mid 1111.11; upper 1122.59; lower 1099.63) with ATR 11.73, implying contained intraday volatility until a catalyst hits.
M15 — Micro structure
Price at 1112.13 holds above the EMA20 1110.83 and EMA50 1111.36, but below the EMA200 1118.46. Short bursts of buying meet overhead supply.
RSI 51.60 is marginally positive, and the MACD histogram (0.23) is slightly green — early stabilization rather than conviction.
Bands (mid 1111.75; upper 1124.38; lower 1099.11) and ATR 6.22 show compression; a quick fade or pop could emerge around the pivot at 1112.31.
Across timeframes, D1 is neutral, H1 cautious, and M15 stabilizing — overall a balanced structure with a modest downside tilt unless 1119–1125 clears.
Trading scenarios
Bullish (conditional)
Trigger: D1 close back above 1119.66 and push through 1124.86. Target: 1135.17, then 1150.00–1160.00 zone (near mean reversion). Invalidation: Return below 1107.43. Risk: Consider stops around 0.5–1.0× D1 ATR (≈56.50) to respect moderate volatility.
Bearish (alternative)
Trigger: Failure at 1119.66/1124.86 followed by a slip under 1107.43. Target: 1094.71, then 1080.00. Invalidation: Hourly close above 1125.00 reclaiming momentum. Risk: 0.5–1.0× ATR sizing to avoid whipsaws in a range.
Neutral (main D1)
Trigger: Holding between 1107.43 and 1124.86 with D1 RSI hovering near 50. Target: Range trades toward 1135.17 or 1094.71 as liquidity pockets. Invalidation: A decisive D1 close beyond 1125.00 or below 1094.71. Risk: Keep risk proportional to ATR as momentum remains fragile.
Market context
Total crypto market cap stands near 3814844267810.27 USD, down -2.26% over 24h. Bitcoin dominance is 57.59%. The Fear & Greed Index reads 34 (Fear). High dominance with fear typically weighs on altcoins, so rotations may remain selective.
Source: https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2025/10/30/bnb-analysis-3-levels-to-watch/