Bearish setup & key levels

SUI Analysis — Multi-timeframe view

D1: SUI trades at 2.49 USDT, below the EMA20 (2.87), EMA50 (3.16), and EMA200 (3.36). This alignment shows sellers in control and confirms a prevailing downtrend. RSI at 35.44 stays below 50, signaling bearish bias but not yet extreme selling.

MACD remains negative (line -0.25 under signal -0.21, histogram -0.04), which suggests persistent but measured downside momentum. On Bollinger Bands, price sits well below the 3.00 mid-band and away from the 3.93 upper band, leaning toward the lower side (2.06) — pressure remains, though not a capitulation.

ATR14 at 0.43 indicates moderate daily swings, so risk sizing needs respect for volatility. Finally, the D1 pivot at 2.51 (R1 2.56, S1 2.45) places price a touch below the pivot, hinting at a cautious intraday tone. For more price insights, see SUI price on CoinMarketCap.

H1: At 2.49 USDT, SUI remains under the EMA20 (2.53), EMA50 (2.55), and EMA200 (2.66). This keeps intraday structure bearish. RSI at 36.09 reflects weak demand. The MACD is near flat (line -0.03 vs signal -0.02, hist ~0), showing momentum is fragile and could flip with a small push.

Bollinger mid at 2.54 with bands 2.62/2.45 frames a tight range; price hovers near the lower half, so rallies may be faded. ATR14 at 0.03 shows compressed intraday volatility. The H1 pivot clusters around 2.49 (R1 2.50, S1 2.49), reinforcing a narrow range mood.

M15: Price aligns with the EMA20 at 2.49, below the EMA50 (2.51) and EMA200 (2.55). Micro-structure is neutral-to-soft. RSI at 49.57 sits near 50, suggesting balance. MACD is flat (line 0.00 vs signal -0.01), pointing to indecision.

Bollinger bands are tight (mid 2.49; 2.50/2.47), and ATR14 at 0.01 confirms compression. M15 pivots all at 2.49 reflect stasis — a small push could trigger a quick move.

Takeaway: D1 and H1 lean bearish while M15 compresses. Overall, this SUI Analysis skews cautious: sellers have the trend, but a short-term pop could occur if compression breaks higher.

SUI Analysis — Trading scenarios

Bearish (main, D1-driven)

Trigger: Failure to reclaim 2.51 PP or a break below 2.45 S1. Target: 2.45 first, then the Bollinger lower band area near 2.06 if momentum builds. Invalidation: Strong push above 2.56 (R1) would weaken the immediate bearish case. Risk: Consider stops around 0.5–1.0× ATR14 (≈0.22–0.43 USDT) given current daily volatility.

Bullish

Trigger: Break and hold above 2.56 (R1) with H1 confirmation; follow-through toward 2.87 (EMA20). Target: 2.87 first, then 3.00 (Bollinger mid) if momentum improves. Invalidation: Back below 2.49–2.51 pivot zone undermines the breakout. Risk: With ATR14 at 0.43, stops of roughly 0.22–0.43 USDT could align with volatility.

Neutral

Trigger: Sustained range between 2.45 and 2.56 alongside flat MACD histogram and low intraday ATR. Target: Mean-reversion rotations around 2.51 PP. Invalidation: Clear D1 close outside 2.45/2.56. Risk: Range strategies might use tighter control near 0.5× ATR14 (≈0.22 USDT) to avoid chop.

For a cross-crypto perspective on current trading conditions, explore price trends of SUI, PI, and Dogecoin.

Market context

  • Total crypto market cap: 3763256122129.48 USD; 24h change: -2.45%.
  • BTC dominance: 57.46% → higher dominance often pressures altcoins.
  • Fear & Greed Index: 34 (Fear) → risk appetite is muted.

Read: In this backdrop, SUI Analysis leans cautious — high BTC dominance and Fear sentiment usually weigh on altcoins. For broader altcoin analysis, visit Solana, SUI and Shiba Inu price analysis.

Source: https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2025/10/21/sui-analysis/