AVAX crypto is regaining momentum ahead of Q4, holding key support as participants anticipate a potential breakout driven by improving technicals and market sentiment.
AVAX crypto is showing early signs of strength as participants eye a potential Q4 breakout. After weeks of quiet consolidation, momentum is beginning to return, supported by improving technicals and on-chain stability.
Technical Outlook Favors a Bullish AVAX Crypto Cycle
The Avalanche narrative continues to gain traction heading into the final quarter. As highlighted by Share, AVAX tends to peak in the last leg of the year, mirroring historical cycle behavior where late Q4 rallies triggered major upside moves.
AVAX crypto shows renewed Q4 strength as traders anticipate a potential breakout fueled by the DAT narrative. Source: Share via X
This time, the focus revolves around Decentralized Autonomous Treasuries (DATs), a narrative expected to strengthen AVAX’s ecosystem utility. With historical cycles showing acceleration from October onward, AVAX price could be entering the early stages of another seasonal rotation phase that typically surprises late participants.
Growing Momentum Seen Across Key AVAX Price Levels
Momentum is starting to rebuild across short-term charts, with AVAX price reclaiming $20.7 after a steady climb from mid-month lows. The chart shared by Crypto Emperor shows price consolidating above the Bollinger mid-band, while the RSI trends higher near 45, a level that often precedes an expansion move.
Avalanche’s price consolidates above key technical zones, signaling growing bullish strength as it targets the $26–$28 resistance range. Source: Crypto Emperor via X
If AVAX crypto holds above $19.7 support, the next resistance sits at $21.3 to $22, where prior sell walls remain. Sustained closes above this range could confirm renewed bullish control, setting up the structure for a push towards $26 to $28 in the coming sessions.
On-Chain Reset Signals Room for Expansion
RebornAli3N pointed out that AVAX crypto’s open interest has dropped to $507 million, marking the lowest level in over three months. Such de-risked conditions typically indicate that leverage has flushed out of the system, allowing for cleaner, spot-driven price action.
AVAX’s open interest hits a three-month low, signaling leverage flush-out and potential room for organic price expansion ahead. Source: RebornAli3N via X
The last time open interest reached similar levels, AVAX doubled in price shortly after, highlighting how reduced speculative pressure often precedes a recovery. The current structure reflects a healthier derivatives landscape, one that may set the stage for organic growth if market participation gradually increases from here.
AVAX Indicators Align for a Fresh Weekly Upswing
Weekly indicators are showing notable recovery signs, with the Stochastic RSI now fully reset and curling upward. RebornAli3N’s analysis suggests that AVAX price could be ready for a new leg higher, supported by momentum oscillators reentering bullish territory.
AVAX’s weekly indicators flash early bullish signals as momentum resets and accumulation patterns begin to take shape. Source: RebornAli3N via X
As long as price remains above $19 to $20 support, this setup aligns with early accumulation behavior. Historically, similar stochastic resets on weekly timeframes have marked the start of strong upward legs, indicating the market may be preparing for another expansion phase.
AVAX Price Prediction: Fractal Patterns Hint at a Repeat Move
James highlighted a repeating “John Wick” fractal, where the same compression structure previously led to explosive upside. The symmetrical wedge pattern currently forming shows strong confluence with 2021’s setup, one that preceded AVAX’s surge toward $140+.
Avalanche’s fractal structure mirrors its 2021 setup, hinting at a potential breakout towards the $45–$55 range. Source: James via X
If the breakout confirms, fractal projections align with potential medium-term targets between $45 to $55, while maintaining higher-timeframe support near $18.5 to $19.0. Momentum above the diagonal resistance would validate the pattern and suggest that AVAX price prediction could once again be setting up for an aggressive leg higher.
Final Thoughts
Avalanche appears to be quietly positioning for a recovery leg into year-end. From the technical structure to on-chain resets and improved sentiment, multiple indicators now point toward a constructive setup. The combination of low open interest, rising RSI, and cyclical Q4 strength creates a strong foundation for potential upside.
Avalanche’s current price is $20.34, up 0.30% in the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin
If the $20 level continues to hold and momentum builds above $22, AVAX crypto could extend its rally towards the $28 to $30 zone in the near term, with the macro fractal suggesting even higher long-term potential. For now, all signs indicate that Avalanche might be entering the early stages of its next cycle-driven acceleration phase.