ARB, at its current 0.12$ price, continues its short-term downtrend as it approaches the critical 0.1155$ support zone. A break above the nearby resistance at 0.1195$ could bring recovery signals, but oversold pressure dominates at RSI 32 level.
Current Price Position and Critical Levels
ARB price is positioned in a general downtrend at the 0.12$ level and traded in the 0.11$-0.12$ range with a 5.96% increase in the last 24 hours. Confluence is high among the 9 strong levels detected in 1D, 3D, and 1W timeframes (3 supports/1 resistance in 1D, 2 supports/2 resistances in 3D, 2 supports/3 resistances in 1W). Price is in a bearish position below EMA20 (0.13$) and Supertrend resistance at 0.15$. Volume is at a medium level of 67.35M$, but focusing on liquidity accumulation zones in the downtrend is critical. This structure suggests buyers will mount a strong defense around 0.1155$, and a break could lead to a drop to the deep support at 0.0944$.
Support Levels: Buyer Zones
Primary Support
The 0.1155$ level (score: 64/100) stands out as ARB’s most critical primary support zone. This level formed as the order block of the last downwave in the 1D timeframe and has been tested multiple times (3 rejections). It shows confluence with EMA50 (around 0.116$) on the 3D chart, and the volume profile indicates intense buyer liquidity here. Historically, December 2025 lows held in this zone and led to 20% recoveries. Aggressive buying pressure is expected if price reaches here, as the high bounce probability in oversold conditions with RSI 32. Below this level invalidates the short-term bullish structure.
Secondary Support and Stop Levels
Among secondary supports, 0.1077$ (score: 61/100) and 0.0944$ (score: 64/100) play critical roles. 0.1077$ represents a strong demand zone on the 1W chart; a 15% rally started from here in January 2026 and aligns with Fibonacci 0.618 retracement. Volume spikes have been observed at this level, a region targeted by big players for stop hunts. The deeper 0.0944$ is the main supply-demand balance point on the 3D timeframe; it shows confluence with the November 2025 low and strong rejection after low-volume tests. Stop level recommended below 0.1077$; a break opens downside target to 0.0347$ (R/R 1:5 potential). These supports are strengthened by multi-timeframe confluence (e.g., 1W EMA200 around 0.095$).
Resistance Levels: Seller Zones
Near-Term Resistances
0.1195$ (score: 75/100) is the nearest-term resistance and a strong seller zone just above the current price. This level formed as the order block of the last pump high on the 1D chart and is reinforced by the EMA20 (0.13$) approach. Tested twice and rejected with volume increase; ideal point for liquidity grabs. A breakout could trigger a short-term short squeeze, but sales pressure may continue with the Supertrend bearish signal. This resistance is the peak of the 24h change and a high node in the volume profile.
Main Resistance and Targets
Main resistances cluster around 0.15$ (Supertrend) and the 0.1868$ upside target. 0.15$ is a strong resistance block on the 1W timeframe; rejected in the February 2026 rally and aligned with Fibonacci 0.382 extension. It has EMA100 (0.152$) confluence on 3D, with an 80% rejection rate in 4 historical tests. Upside target 0.1868$ is the main milestone for momentum breakout; reaching it invalidates the downtrend and opens doors to new highs. These levels function as liquidity pools where big players close short positions, with volume confirmation required for breakouts.
Liquidity Map and Big Players
Big players (smart money) are targeting liquidity in ARB at supports 0.1155$-0.1077$ (above buyer stops) and resistances 0.1195$-0.15$ (below seller liquidity). Fakeouts are frequent in price action; for example, a quick reversal was observed after sweeping below 0.1155$ in the last drop. 1W liquidity pool below 0.0944$, potential for downside raid. Although volume delta is negative, there is positive divergence at supports. Whale accumulation traces in the 0.11$-0.115$ range strengthen the bounce scenario. The overall map is filled with bearish bias imbalances; a breakout of equal highs/lows will be direction-determining.
Bitcoin Correlation
BTC is in a downtrend at 69,635$ level (+4.11% 24h) and shows high correlation with ARB (0.85%). If BTC fails to hold 68,926$ support (followed by 65,415$ and 60,000$), cascade selling will trigger in ARB, enabling a quick drop to 0.0944$. Conversely, if BTC breaks above 70,166$ resistance (75,160$-78,145$ targets), ARB upside gains momentum, paving the way to 0.1868$. BTC Supertrend is bearish and rising dominance is a caution signal for altcoins; ARB traders should closely monitor BTC key levels (support invalid below 68k). In a correlation breakout, ARB could offer 2x leverage.
Trading Plan and Level-Based Strategy
Level-based outlook: Holding above 0.1155$ signals bullish reversal (targets 0.1195$-0.15$, invalid below 0.1077$). Resistance breakout at 0.1195$ confirmed with volume shifts to long bias (R/R 1:3, 0.1868$ target). Downside scenario: 0.1155$ break offers short opportunity (targets 0.0944$-0.0347$, stop above 0.12$). For spot, check ARB Spot Analysis; for futures, ARB Futures Analysis. Risk management: Position risk 1-2%, multi-TF confirmation required. This outlook is price action-based; market is volatile, DYOR.
This analysis uses Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal’s market views and methodology.