APT Price Prediction: Targeting $1.75 Recovery Despite Bearish Headwinds – January 2026 Outlook

Aptos (APT) finds itself at a critical juncture as we close 2025, trading at $1.71 with conflicting technical signals creating uncertainty for traders. While the broader market sentiment remains bearish, emerging technical patterns suggest a potential short-term recovery could be on the horizon.

APT Price Prediction Summary

• APT short-term target (1 week): $1.75 (+2.3% from current levels)
• Aptos medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.24-$1.85 range with high volatility expected
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $1.84 (Bollinger Band upper resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $1.42 (immediate support confluence)

Recent Aptos Price Predictions from Analysts

The analyst community presents a divided outlook on the immediate APT price prediction landscape. CoinCodex maintains a distinctly bearish stance, projecting downside targets of $1.24-$1.25 based on 85% of technical indicators flashing negative signals and the Fear & Greed Index sitting at an extreme fear level of 20.

However, contrarian voices from Blockchain.News and MEXC News present a more optimistic Aptos forecast, targeting $1.75 based on oversold bounce potential. Their analysis points to the RSI approaching oversold territory at 39.71 (though current data shows 45.33) and positive MACD histogram readings as catalysts for recovery.

Traders Union offers a middle-ground perspective with a $1.50 APT price target, acknowledging the bearish environment while recognizing oversold technical conditions that could trigger a relief rally.

APT Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Cautious Recovery

The current technical picture for Aptos reveals a coin caught between conflicting forces. At $1.71, APT trades above its 7-day SMA ($1.63) and 20-day SMA ($1.65), suggesting short-term momentum has stabilized. However, the price remains significantly below the 50-day SMA ($2.14) and 200-day SMA ($3.81), confirming the longer-term bearish trend remains intact.

The RSI at 45.33 sits in neutral territory, providing room for movement in either direction without immediate overbought or oversold concerns. More encouraging is the MACD histogram reading of 0.0509, which indicates bullish momentum is building despite the negative MACD line (-0.1294) and signal line (-0.1803).

Bollinger Bands analysis shows APT positioned at 0.6629 within the bands, suggesting the token has room to move toward the upper band at $1.84 before encountering significant resistance. The recent 24-hour trading range of $1.65-$1.72 demonstrates contained volatility with a slight upward bias.

Volume analysis from Binance spot markets shows $7.45 million in 24-hour volume, which while modest, has been sufficient to support the recent 1.67% daily gain.

Aptos Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for APT

The bullish Aptos forecast centers on a recovery to $1.75, representing the confluence of the EMA 26 ($1.78) and previous resistance levels. This APT price target aligns with multiple analyst predictions and offers a realistic 2-3% upside from current levels.

For this scenario to unfold, APT needs to maintain support above the pivot point at $1.69 and break through immediate resistance at $1.84 (Bollinger upper band). A successful breach of $1.84 could extend the rally toward $1.92, where stronger resistance awaits.

The technical setup supports this view through the positive MACD histogram and the coin’s position above key short-term moving averages. Additionally, the Stochastic indicators (%K at 96.39, %D at 79.36) suggest the token may be approaching overbought territory in the short term, which could coincide with the $1.75-$1.80 target zone.

Bearish Risk for Aptos

The downside scenario remains valid given the broader market sentiment and analyst consensus around lower targets. A break below the critical $1.42 support level would validate the bearish APT price prediction, potentially sending the token toward $1.24-$1.25 targets identified by CoinCodex.

The proximity to the 52-week low of $1.45 adds significance to the $1.42 support level. A decisive break below this zone could trigger stop-loss orders and accelerate the decline toward the lower Bollinger Band at $1.45 and beyond.

Risk factors include continued crypto market weakness, regulatory concerns affecting layer-1 protocols, and potential selling pressure from long-term holders looking to minimize losses given APT’s 72% decline from its 52-week high of $6.14.

Should You Buy APT Now? Entry Strategy

Based on the current Aptos technical analysis, a cautious accumulation strategy appears most prudent. Traders should consider dollar-cost averaging into positions between $1.65-$1.70, using the 20-day SMA as a dynamic support level.

For more aggressive traders seeking to capitalize on the potential bounce to $1.75, entries near $1.69 (pivot point) with tight stop-losses at $1.62 (below 7-day SMA) offer a favorable risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.5.

Conservative investors might wait for a confirmed break above $1.84 before initiating positions, accepting reduced upside potential in exchange for higher probability setups. This approach would target the $1.92 resistance level with stops below $1.75.

Position sizing should remain conservative given the high volatility environment, with the daily ATR of $0.13 representing roughly 7.6% of the current price, indicating significant intraday movement potential.

APT Price Prediction Conclusion

The APT price prediction for early 2026 favors a modest recovery to $1.75 within the next 1-2 weeks, representing a medium-confidence forecast based on oversold technical conditions and positive momentum indicators. However, this bullish view remains contingent on holding the critical $1.42 support level.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include RSI movement above 50, MACD line crossing above the signal line, and sustained trading volume above $10 million daily. Invalidation signals would include a break below $1.42 support or renewed selling pressure that pushes RSI below 40.

The timeline for this Aptos forecast extends through mid-January 2026, after which a broader market reassessment will be necessary based on prevailing crypto market conditions and Aptos ecosystem developments. Traders should remain flexible and ready to adjust positions based on evolving technical signals and market sentiment shifts.

Confidence Level: Medium (65%) based on mixed technical signals and divided analyst opinion.

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