30 million MELANIA token release – A game changer or a risky gamble?

• MELANIA memecoin follows a structured tokenomics model designed to drive both hype and growth
• This gradual release strategy aims to build anticipation, but will it engineer?

For memecoins, hype and community spark the buzz, but it’s the underlying tokenomics that drive the price. The MELANIA memecoin is about to put that theory to the ultimate test.

From 19-20 February, the team will unlock 3% of the total supply in the first month – 30 million MELANIA – worth $39 million.

From month two to month, they’ll release 2.25% each month, or 22.5 million MELANIA. Clearly, the stage is set for some serious market action.

Basic supply-demand dynamics

At press time, there were 487.31 million MELANIA coins, each valued at $1.29, bringing the market cap to $629.4 million. With a total supply cap of 1 billion coins, its tokenomics may be primed for major future growth.

How? Unlike Dogecoin, which has already flooded the market with all 148.08 billion coins, MELANIA’s ‘gradual’ release strategy ensures a controlled supply.

Source: CoinMarketCap

Despite all the hype, media attention and celebrity endorsements, DOGE is still far from hitting $1. MELANIA’s developers are clearly avoiding the same inflation pitfalls.

Here’s the real question though – Will this strategy actually work, especially considering the memecoin has already lost 90% of its market value?

Analyzing MELANIA’s demand side

On launch day, MELANIA surged to $13.73, dominating social volume, but ended with a slight 0.08% dip. 

The sell-side pressure has been relentless ever since, reinforcing the ‘high-risk, high-reward’ reality of memecoins. Fast forward a month, and MELANIA has plummeted by 90%, erasing around $1.5 billion in value. 

Still, there’s a glimmer of hope. Open Interest (OI) is up 22%, and Futures volume has soared by 108.09% – A sign that traders are still willing to take risks for quick profits. 

However, with its volume dropping from $4.20 billion on launch day to just $49 million now, most of the early gains have evaporated. And, the HODLing sentiment is nowhere to be found now. 

Source: Santiment

If demand doesn’t pick up soon, the inflationary pressure from MELANIA’s token release could lead to a significant depreciation in value. This can trigger a potential liquidity crisis, exposing the memecoin to manipulation.