3 reasons why Arbitrum’s $4B TVL can fuel a 30% breakout

Key Takeaways

Why is Arbitrum’s outlook turning bullish?

Rising TVL and DEX Volume show stronger network demand and liquidity support.

What level could confirm trend reversal?

A breakout above $0.475 may trigger a 30% climb toward $0.62 if momentum builds.

Arbitrum [ARB] has moved quietly over the past two weeks, but silence doesn’t mean stagnation.

Under the surface, liquidity, trading activity, and network participation have started to climb again—signs that the Layer-2’s fundamentals may be rebuilding strength.

Arbitrum’s metrics improved as price drifted

Data from DeFiLlama showed Arbitrum’s Total Value Locked (TVL) rose from $3.13 billion in September 2025 to $4.12 billion at press time, marking a steady on-chain recovery.

During the same period, DEX Volume increased from $712.63 million to $834.7 million, while its Stablecoin Market Cap grew 5.34% week-on-week to $4.15 billion.

Source: DeFiLlama

This indicates that growing trader interest and confidence are strengthening the Arbitrum ecosystem, supported by increased on-chain activity.

Experts’ prediction and current price 

Market watchers stayed optimistic on ARB.

Several analysts on X noted that if ARB breaks above $0.48, it could extend toward $0.70–$0.80 over time, while short-term calls placed targets near $0.50.

Source: Michaël van de Poppe

At press time, ARB traded around $0.44, down 2.5% in 24 hours. Trading volume slipped 10% to $204.45 million, showing a brief cooldown in market participation.

Arbitrum price action and upcoming level

On the daily chart, ARB appeared to be forming a falling wedge pattern, a structure that often precedes bullish reversals.

The token found support at the lower boundary on the 25th of September and was approaching resistance near $0.475.

Source: TradingView

If ARB breaks above $0.475, it could post a 30% move toward $0.62. That scenario remains valid only if the breakout holds; otherwise, the pattern loses strength.

The Supertrend indicator stayed red, suggesting bearish control, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) printed 21, signaling weak momentum and limited directional bias for now.

Traders’ positioning points to upside bias

Despite a sideways market, traders seem to maintain a bullish outlook, appearing to bet on the upside.

CoinGlass data revealed that ARB’s major liquidation levels stood at $0.424 on the lower side and $0.451 on the upper side.

At those levels, traders held $3.36 million in long positions versus $2.75 million in shorts, showing heavier bullish exposure.

Source: CoinGlass

This positioning hinted that bulls held the upper hand, while short interest weakened—a setup that could amplify any breakout move if buying pressure accelerates.