Invest right now in the stock market? Why bother when cash could be king

The harder question for investors nearly a year into the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight is whether buying the dip in stocks is wise, or earning a cool 5% yield on safe-haven Treasury bills, a cash ...

Deeply inverted Treasury curve narrowly misses reaching 41-year milestone

A bond-market gauge of impending U.S. recessions fell just shy of reaching its most negative reading since October 1981, when interest rates were 19% under Paul Volcker’s Federal Reserve. That gauge, ...

Stock-market investors should watch this part of the yield curve for the ‘best leading indicator of trouble ahead’

Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of past economic downturns. They don’t always agree on which part of the curve is best to watch though. ...

Opinion: The Fed is determined to stop wages from rising

AUSTIN, Texas (Project Syndicate)—Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has now committed to putting monetary policy on a course of rising interest rates, which could boost the short-term rate (on feder...