What’s next for markets now that the Federal Reserve has delivered its fourth and possibly final jumbo rate increase of 75 basis points? Well, a lot, actually. A sometimes tumultuous third-quarter ear...
Tag: U.S. 2 Year Treasury Note
‘Fragile’ Treasury market is at risk of ‘large scale forced selling’ or surprise that leads to breakdown, BofA says
The world’s deepest and most liquid fixed-income market is in big, big trouble. For months, traders, academics, and other analysts have fretted that the $23.7 trillion Treasurys market might be the so...
Classic 60/40 investing strategy sees worst return in 100 years. How about 40/60?
Rules of thumb in investing appear to no longer apply in the carnage of 2022 in financial markets. Advocates for the 60/40 portfolio split, designed to capture the upside of stocks, but offer investor...
Switch up a classic stock and bond portfolio for an inflation-proof mix: Rieder
By some measures, the 60-40 portfolio is experiencing one of the worst years in recent memory. As bonds and stocks have sold off in unison, some people have even questioned whether one of the core ten...
Thursday was ‘one of the craziest days of my career’ in markets, says Rick Rieder
Investors have witnessed some “pretty crazy” times in financial markets these past few weeks, with Thursday’s wild fluctuations ranking among the “craziest days of my career,” said Rick Rieder, the ch...
Opinion: Stock markets will drop another 40% as a severe stagflationary debt crisis hits an overleveraged global economy
NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)—For a year now, I have argued that the increase in inflation would be persistent, that its causes include not only bad policies but also negative supply shocks, and that c...
Treasury yields pull back sharply amid concerns over Credit Suisse
Treasury yields pulled back sharply on Monday as investors assessed worries over the financial health of a large European bank and a gauge on the U.S. manufacturing sector produced the weakest reading...
Short U.S. stocks and short-term Treasurys until Halloween, Bank of America strategist says
Short U.S. stocks as well as short-term bonds until Halloween, a Bank of America strategist advises. Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at Bank of America Securities, said he’s a tactical b...
Don’t look for a stock market bottom until a soaring dollar cools down. Here’s why.
It will be difficult for the stock market to stop its slide and find a bottom as long as the U.S. dollar keeps soaring versus its rivals, according to market analysts. Global stocks suffered a bruisin...
Why investors fear a full-percentage-point Fed rate hike would ‘unnerve’ Wall Street
The Fed has delivered two 75 basis point interest-rate hikes so far this year. A previous version of this story said it had delivered three. With both U.S. stocks and bonds under pressure on Tuesday, ...
A punishing selloff in short-term debt is pushing one rate near the ‘magic’ level that ‘frightens’ markets
The yield on the 1-year Treasury note is testing 4%, a level that traders say could spill over into other rates and send shivers through financial markets, as the Federal Reserve presses forward in ea...
2-year Treasury yield sees biggest one-day drop since July after U.S. jobs report
U.S. Treasury yields moved lower Friday, handing the 2-year rate its biggest one-day drop in more than a month, after the August nonfarm payrolls report had traders paring expectations for an aggressi...
What does Friday’s jobs report mean for the market? ‘Too hot’ and stocks could tumble, says market pro
With Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday’s monthly U.S. jobs report may once again car...
2-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2007 as bond selloff continues
Treasury yields continued to climb on Monday, with the 2-year reaching levels not seen since November 2007, as bonds tumbled in the wake of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks at ...
Fed’s Powell sparked a 1,000-point rout in the Dow. Here’s what investors should do next.
Now might be the time to consider hiding out in short-dated Treasurys or corporate bonds and other defensive parts of the stock market. On Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talked of a wi...
Disappointing U.S. data has traders considering possibility of a half-point Fed rate hike in September
In the blink of an eye on Tuesday, the U.S. bond market’s focus shifted back toward fears of an unexpectedly sharp economic slowdown and away from persistently high inflation over the bulk of the trad...
Dow sheds 643 points and stocks post worst day since June as investors question Fed pivot thesis
U.S. stocks posted their worst daily drop in two months Monday on fears that the recent rally was based on an overly optimistic view that the Federal Reserve would pivot away from sharply higher inter...
This rule with a perfect record says the market hasn’t bottomed, says Bank of America’s star analyst
Rules are there to be broken. That may be a standard mantra for anarchists. But for traders such thinking may prove to be dangerously dismissive. Investors therefore may like to consider the latest no...
Ready to cash out some gains on this stock market run? An exit path is about to emerge, says this strategist
Welcome to moody Monday, with stock futures down and oil prices getting hit hard after a batch of downbeat data from China, alongside a surprise rate cut. Some say that the global growth engine’s econ...
Don’t be fooled by a drop in U.S. headline inflation. Markets will be attuned to another figure on Wednesday.
Traders, investors and economists are all counting on Wednesday’s consumer-price index report to show a decline in the annual headline U.S. inflation rate for July. But there’s another figure buried i...
Gloomy Goldman offers 20 ‘safety’ stocks with valuations below the previous 2 bear markets
It’s tight quarters in Wall Street’s bear sleuth these days. Goldman Sachs just downgraded their 2022 U.S. growth forecast (to 2.4% from 2.6%) and 2023 (to 1.6% from 2.2%), as senior chairman Lloyd Bl...
Recession fears and the stock market — Is it too late to play defense?
Recession fears are on the rise as the Federal Reserve gears up to fight inflation. Many stock-market investors are already playing defense and may wonder if those strategies have more room to run. Bu...
‘Calamity’ may be coming, stock-market setup similar to 1999: Jeffrey Gundlach
A “calamity” may be coming for markets, potentially in 2023, Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive officer and chief investment officer of DoubleLine, warned Tuesday on stage at the Exchange ETF conferen...
Stock-market investors should watch this part of the yield curve for the ‘best leading indicator of trouble ahead’
Investors have been watching the U.S. Treasury yield curve for inversions, a reliable predictor of past economic downturns. They don’t always agree on which part of the curve is best to watch though. ...
This is how high interest rates might rise, and what could scare the Federal Reserve into a policy pivot
The stock market’s reaction to the latest inflation report Thursday underlined just how confused and fearful investors are. The S&P 500 SPX, +2.60% plunged as much as 3% shortly after the open as ...